Market icon

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Kevin Warsh 45%

Kevin Hassett 36%

Christopher Waller 8.5%

Rick Rieder 6.4%

$193,142,825 Vol

Rules

This market will resolve according to the next individual Donald Trump, as President of the United States, formally nominates to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

Acting or interim appointments will not count unless the individual is formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$193,142,825
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Created At
Aug 5, 2025, 1:21 PM ET
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Beware of external links.

Market icon

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Kevin Warsh 45%

Kevin Hassett 36%

Christopher Waller 8.5%

Rick Rieder 6.4%

$193,142,825 Vol

Kevin Warsh

$5,223,280 Vol.

45%

Kevin Hassett

$9,526,021 Vol.

36%

Christopher Waller

$4,190,489 Vol.

9%

Rick Rieder

$3,971,472 Vol.

6%

Michelle Bowman

$3,849,898 Vol.

2%

Scott Bessent

$4,569,332 Vol.

2%

Judy Shelton

$4,799,004 Vol.

1%

Stephen Miran

$3,825,957 Vol.

1%

David Malpass

$3,217,577 Vol.

<1%

Jerome Powell

$5,906,181 Vol.

<1%

No one nominated before 2027

$2,653,350 Vol.

<1%

Bill Pulte

$23,179,988 Vol.

<1%

Howard Lutnick

$1,855,993 Vol.

<1%

Arthur Laffer

$10,849,862 Vol.

<1%

Larry Kudlow

$9,908,202 Vol.

<1%

Ron Paul

$12,197,600 Vol.

<1%

James Bullard

$2,005,671 Vol.

<1%

Marc Sumerlin

$3,127,429 Vol.

<1%

David Zervos

$2,909,149 Vol.

<1%

Lorie K. Logan

$1,972,330 Vol.

<1%

Philip Jefferson

$6,143,356 Vol.

<1%

Janet Yellen

$20,574,254 Vol.

<1%

Larry Lindsey

$5,598,791 Vol.

<1%

Barron Trump

$18,617,189 Vol.

<1%

Donald Trump

$22,465,446 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume
$193,142,825
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Created At
Aug 5, 2025, 1:21 PM ET
shield

Beware of external links.