Who will qualify for the second round of the Portugal Presidential Election?

Name: Who will qualify for the second round of the Portugal Presidential Election?
Start: 2025-11-26T15:13:10.41308Z
End: 2026-01-18T00:00:00Z

$717,740 Vol.

OUTCOME

% CHANCE

André Ventura (CH)
$167,625 Vol.
69%

Luís Marques Mendes (PSD)
$197,771 Vol.
47%

António José Seguro (IND)
$62,835 Vol.
46%

João Cotrim de Figueiredo
$227,896 Vol.
28%

Henrique Gouveia e Melo (IND)
$31,148 Vol.
15%

Tim Vieira (IND)
$90 Vol.
1%

Manuel João Vieira
$9,952 Vol.
<1%

Aristides Teixeira (IND)
$151 Vol.
<1%

José Cardoso (PLS)
$334 Vol.
<1%

António Filipe (PCP)
$481 Vol.
<1%

Humberto Correia
$8,514 Vol.
<1%

Joana Amaral Dias (ADN)
$193 Vol.
<1%

Jorge Pinto
$175 Vol.
<1%

André Pestana (IND)
$398 Vol.
<1%

Manuela Magno (IND)
$1,246 Vol.
<1%

Pedro Tinoco de Faria (IND)
$170 Vol.
<1%

Ângela Maryah (IND)
$198 Vol.
<1%

Pedro Passos Coelho (PSD)
$246 Vol.
<1%

Raul Perestrello (IND)
$742 Vol.
<1%

Catarina Martins
$7,024 Vol.
<1%

Vitorino Silva (IND)
$236 Vol.
<1%

Orlando Cruz (IND)
$313 Vol.
<1%

Rules

Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Portugal on 18 or 25 January 2026, with a possible second round on 8 or 15 February 2026. A second round will be held if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. The two candidates with the greatest number of votes in the first round will advance to the second round.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidates that qualify for the second round of this election.

If the result of the first round of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".

If a candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Portuguese government, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (https://www.cne.pt/).

Created At: Nov 26, 2025, 3:42 PM UTC

Volume

$717,740

End Date

Jan 18, 2026

Created At

Nov 26, 2025, 3:42 PM UTC

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

Beware of external links.

$717,740 Vol.

Who will qualify for the second round of the Portugal Presidential Election?

OUTCOME

% CHANCE

André Ventura (CH)

$167,625 Vol.

69%

Luís Marques Mendes (PSD)

$197,771 Vol.

47%

António José Seguro (IND)

$62,835 Vol.

46%

João Cotrim de Figueiredo

$227,896 Vol.

28%

Henrique Gouveia e Melo (IND)

$31,148 Vol.

15%

Tim Vieira (IND)

$90 Vol.

Manuel João Vieira

$9,952 Vol.

<1%

Aristides Teixeira (IND)

$151 Vol.

<1%

José Cardoso (PLS)

$334 Vol.

<1%

António Filipe (PCP)

$481 Vol.

<1%

Humberto Correia

$8,514 Vol.

<1%

Joana Amaral Dias (ADN)

$193 Vol.

<1%

Jorge Pinto

$175 Vol.

<1%

André Pestana (IND)

$398 Vol.

<1%

Manuela Magno (IND)

$1,246 Vol.

<1%

Pedro Tinoco de Faria (IND)

$170 Vol.

<1%

Ângela Maryah (IND)

$198 Vol.

<1%

Pedro Passos Coelho (PSD)

$246 Vol.

<1%

Raul Perestrello (IND)

$742 Vol.

<1%

Catarina Martins

$7,024 Vol.

<1%

Vitorino Silva (IND)

$236 Vol.

<1%

Orlando Cruz (IND)

$313 Vol.

<1%

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