Who will be Trump's Defense Secretary?
$14,011,760 Vol.
Pete Hegseth 100.0%
Ron DeSantis <1%
Tom Cotton <1%
Robert O'Brien <1%
OUTCOME
% CHANCE
RESULT
Ron DeSantis
$286,809 Vol.
No
Ron DeSantis
$286,809 Vol.
No
Tom Cotton
$141,214 Vol.
No
Tom Cotton
$141,214 Vol.
No
Robert O'Brien
$6,904,060 Vol.
No
Robert O'Brien
$6,904,060 Vol.
No
Joni Ernst
$406,097 Vol.
No
Joni Ernst
$406,097 Vol.
No
Pete Hegseth
$2,358,456 Vol.
Yes
Pete Hegseth
$2,358,456 Vol.
Yes
Mike Waltz
$213,155 Vol.
No
Mike Waltz
$213,155 Vol.
No
Elbridge Colby
$98,912 Vol.
No
Elbridge Colby
$98,912 Vol.
No
Mike Pompeo
$220,462 Vol.
No
Mike Pompeo
$220,462 Vol.
No
Christopher Miller
$560,478 Vol.
No
Christopher Miller
$560,478 Vol.
No
Mike Gallagher
$2,022,557 Vol.
No
Mike Gallagher
$2,022,557 Vol.
No
Thomas Massie
$686,366 Vol.
No
Thomas Massie
$686,366 Vol.
No
Mike Rogers
$113,193 Vol.
No
Mike Rogers
$113,193 Vol.
No
Rules
A candidate will be considered to have been appointed if they are confirmed to the position through a senate vote, appointed through a recess appointment, or are otherwise officially made the Secretary of Defense.
This market will resolve based on the first Trump candidate who is appointed to this position - if another candidate is appointed to this position first, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is information from the U.S. Government.
Volume
$14,011,760
End Date
Jun 30, 2025
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
$14,011,760 Vol.
Who will be Trump's Defense Secretary?
Pete Hegseth 100.0%
Ron DeSantis <1%
Tom Cotton <1%
Robert O'Brien <1%
Ron DeSantis
$286,809 Vol.
No
Tom Cotton
$141,214 Vol.
No
Robert O'Brien
$6,904,060 Vol.
No
Joni Ernst
$406,097 Vol.
No
Pete Hegseth
$2,358,456 Vol.
Yes
Mike Waltz
$213,155 Vol.
No
Elbridge Colby
$98,912 Vol.
No
Mike Pompeo
$220,462 Vol.
No
Christopher Miller
$560,478 Vol.
No
Mike Gallagher
$2,022,557 Vol.
No
Thomas Massie
$686,366 Vol.
No
Mike Rogers
$113,193 Vol.
No
About
Volume
$14,011,760
End Date
Jun 30, 2025
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...
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