Google 100.0%
Anthropic <1%
xAI <1%
OpenAI <1%
$6,135,141 Vol.
$6,135,141 Vol.
Jul 31, 2025

Yes

Anthropic
No

xAI
No

OpenAI
No

DeepSeek
No

Alibaba
No

Meta
No
Google 100.0%
Anthropic <1%
xAI <1%
OpenAI <1%
$6,135,141 Vol.
$6,135,141 Vol.
Jul 31, 2025

$914,755 Vol.
Yes

Anthropic
$744,569 Vol.
No

xAI
$1,376,936 Vol.
No

OpenAI
$1,103,754 Vol.
No

DeepSeek
$587,869 Vol.
No

Alibaba
$832,795 Vol.
No

Meta
$574,463 Vol.
No
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena score based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on July 31, 2025, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.
If two models are tied for the top arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g. if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena score based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on July 31, 2025, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.
If two models are tied for the top arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g. if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.
If two models are tied for the top arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g. if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Market Opened: May 27, 2025, 3:56 PM ET
Volume
$6,135,141End Date
Jul 31, 2025Market Opened
May 27, 2025, 3:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes



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