Which company has best AI model end of July?
$6,135,141 Vol.
Google 100.0%
Anthropic <1%
xAI <1%
OpenAI <1%
OUTCOME
% CHANCE
RESULT

Google
$914,755 Vol.
Yes

$914,755 Vol.
Yes

Anthropic
$744,569 Vol.
No

Anthropic
$744,569 Vol.
No

xAI
$1,376,936 Vol.
No

xAI
$1,376,936 Vol.
No

OpenAI
$1,103,754 Vol.
No

OpenAI
$1,103,754 Vol.
No

DeepSeek
$587,869 Vol.
No

DeepSeek
$587,869 Vol.
No

Alibaba
$832,795 Vol.
No

Alibaba
$832,795 Vol.
No

Meta
$574,463 Vol.
No

Meta
$574,463 Vol.
No
Rules
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena score based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on July 31, 2025, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.
If two models are tied for the top arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g. if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.
If two models are tied for the top arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g. if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Created At: May 27, 2025, 7:56 PM
Volume
$6,135,141End Date
Jul 31, 2025Created At
May 27, 2025, 7:56 PMResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
$6,135,141 Vol.
Which company has best AI model end of July?
Google 100.0%
Anthropic <1%
xAI <1%
OpenAI <1%

$914,755 Vol.
Yes

Anthropic
$744,569 Vol.
No

xAI
$1,376,936 Vol.
No

OpenAI
$1,103,754 Vol.
No

DeepSeek
$587,869 Vol.
No

Alibaba
$832,795 Vol.
No

Meta
$574,463 Vol.
No
About
Volume
$6,135,141End Date
Jul 31, 2025Created At
May 27, 2025, 7:56 PMResolver
0x2F5e3684c...

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