When will the Government shutdown end?
October 15 or later 100.0%
October 1-2 <1%
October 3-5 <1%
October 6-9 <1%
$6,992,734 Vol.
$6,992,734 Vol.
Oct 15, 2025
October 1-2
$967,796 Vol.
No
October 1-2
$967,796 Vol.
No
October 3-5
$1,012,003 Vol.
No
October 3-5
$1,012,003 Vol.
No
October 6-9
$1,196,433 Vol.
No
October 6-9
$1,196,433 Vol.
No
October 10-14
$945,240 Vol.
No
October 10-14
$945,240 Vol.
No
October 15 or later
$2,797,439 Vol.
Yes
October 15 or later
$2,797,439 Vol.
Yes
No Shutdown
$73,823 Vol.
No
No Shutdown
$73,823 Vol.
No
Rules
This market will resolve to the calendar date range (ET) of the first day after September 30, 2025 which the U.S. The Office of Personnel Management (OPM) announces that the U.S. federal government is not shut down due to a lapse in appropriations.
If OPM does not announce a shutdown on October 1, 2025 by 10:00 AM ET, this market will resolve to “No Shutdown.”
Partial shutdowns count as shutdowns; announcements of office closures due to holidays or inclement weather do not qualify as a shutdown.
The resolution source for this market will be OPM’s Operating Status page (https://www.opm.gov/policy-data-oversight/snow-dismissal-procedures/current-status/).This market will resolve to the calendar date range (ET) of the first day after September 30, 2025 which the U.S. The Office of Personnel Management (OPM) announces that the U.S. federal government is not shut down due to a lapse in appropriations.
If OPM does not announce a shutdown on October 1, 2025 by 10:00 AM ET, this market will resolve to “No Shutdown.”
Partial shutdowns count as shutdowns; announcements of office closures due to holidays or inclement weather do not qualify as a shutdown.
The resolution source for this market will be OPM’s Operating Status page (https://www.opm.gov/policy-data-oversight/snow-dismissal-procedures/current-status/).
If OPM does not announce a shutdown on October 1, 2025 by 10:00 AM ET, this market will resolve to “No Shutdown.”
Partial shutdowns count as shutdowns; announcements of office closures due to holidays or inclement weather do not qualify as a shutdown.
The resolution source for this market will be OPM’s Operating Status page (https://www.opm.gov/policy-data-oversight/snow-dismissal-procedures/current-status/).
Created At: Sep 30, 2025, 4:16 PM ET
Volume
$6,992,734End Date
Oct 15, 2025Created At
Sep 30, 2025, 4:16 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
When will the Government shutdown end?
October 15 or later 100.0%
October 1-2 <1%
October 3-5 <1%
October 6-9 <1%
$6,992,734 Vol.
$6,992,734 Vol.
Oct 15, 2025
October 1-2
$967,796 Vol.
No
October 3-5
$1,012,003 Vol.
No
October 6-9
$1,196,433 Vol.
No
October 10-14
$945,240 Vol.
No
October 15 or later
$2,797,439 Vol.
Yes
No Shutdown
$73,823 Vol.
No
About
Volume
$6,992,734End Date
Oct 15, 2025Created At
Sep 30, 2025, 4:16 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.