Market icon

When will the Government shutdown end?

Predicted
$3

November 12-15 100.0%

Before October 15 <1%

October 15-18 <1%

October 19-22 <1%

$40,223,767 Vol.

Rules

This market will resolve to the calendar date range (ET) of the first day after September 30, 2025 which the U.S. The Office of Personnel Management (OPM) announces that the U.S. federal government is not shut down due to a lapse in appropriations.

Partial shutdowns count as shutdowns; announcements of office closures due to holidays or inclement weather do not qualify as a shutdown.

The resolution source for this market will be OPM’s Operating Status page (https://www.opm.gov/policy-data-oversight/snow-dismissal-procedures/current-status/).
Volume
$40,223,767
End Date
Nov 15, 2025
Created At
Oct 6, 2025, 1:16 PM ET

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Beware of external links.

Market icon

When will the Government shutdown end?

Predicted
$3

November 12-15 100.0%

Before October 15 <1%

October 15-18 <1%

October 19-22 <1%

$40,223,767 Vol.

Before October 15

$107,645 Vol.

No

October 15-18

$426,890 Vol.

No

October 19-22

$438,399 Vol.

No

October 23-26

$1,061,750 Vol.

No

October 27-30

$912,063 Vol.

No

October 31-November 3

$1,567,201 Vol.

No

November 4-7

$5,673,890 Vol.

No

November 8-11

$11,773,856 Vol.

No

November 12-15

$8,422,644 Vol.

Yes

November 16+

$9,839,429 Vol.

No

About

Volume
$40,223,767
End Date
Nov 15, 2025
Created At
Oct 6, 2025, 1:16 PM ET

Beware of external links.