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What will Trump say in Iowa on January 27?

Market icon

What will Trump say in Iowa on January 27?

$484,081 Vol.

Jan 27, 2026
Polymarket

$484,081 Vol.

Polymarket

Million / Billion / Trillion 30+ times

$53,611 Vol.

No

Tariff / Inflation 20+ times

$21,584 Vol.

No

America / American 15+ times

$35,107 Vol.

Yes

China / Russia 15+ times

$17,846 Vol.

No

Biden 15+ times

$40,753 Vol.

No

Hell 8+ times

$50,516 Vol.

Yes

Stagflation

$15,486 Vol.

No

Corn

$11,566 Vol.

No

Death tax

$7,266 Vol.

No

Kamala

$27,527 Vol.

Yes

Midterm Election

$18,401 Vol.

No

401(k)

$10,779 Vol.

Yes

Insane asylum

$7,280 Vol.

No

Stupid

$25,872 Vol.

No

Davos / World Economic Forum

$19,613 Vol.

No

Susie / Wiles

$2,696 Vol.

No

UFC / Dana White

$36,981 Vol.

Yes

Bedrock

$2,433 Vol.

No

Egg

$18,894 Vol.

Yes

Greenland

$34,824 Vol.

No

Nuclear

$17,833 Vol.

Yes

Hog

$7,213 Vol.

No

Donald Trump is set to deliver remarks in Iowa on January 27, 2026 (see: https://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/politics/2026/01/21/donald-trump-iowa-for-speech-economy/88280760007/).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the event on January 27, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Pluralization/possessive of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

This market is explicitly about the speech in Iowa (https://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/politics/2026/01/21/donald-trump-iowa-for-speech-economy/88280760007/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by January 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
Volume
$484,081
End Date
Jan 27, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 21, 2026, 6:08 PM ET
Donald Trump is set to deliver remarks in Iowa on January 27, 2026 (see: https://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/politics/2026/01/21/donald-trump-iowa-for-speech-economy/88280760007/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the event on January 27, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Pluralization/possessive of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). This market is explicitly about the speech in Iowa (https://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/politics/2026/01/21/donald-trump-iowa-for-speech-economy/88280760007/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by January 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"What will Trump say in Iowa on January 27?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 22 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "America / American 15+ times" at 100%, followed by "Hell 8+ times" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "What will Trump say in Iowa on January 27?" has generated $484.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 21, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "What will Trump say in Iowa on January 27?," browse the 22 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "What will Trump say in Iowa on January 27?" is "America / American 15+ times" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Hell 8+ times" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "What will Trump say in Iowa on January 27?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.