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What will Tucker Carlson say at AmericaFest on December 18?

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OUTCOME
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Rules

AmericaFest is scheduled to take place from December 18 - December 21, 2025, and Tucker Carlson is scheduled to speak on December 18 at 7:15PM ET (https://tpusa.com/agenda/).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tucker Carlson says the listed term during the scheduled event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

If prerecorded clips are aired where Tucker Carlson is speaking, those clips will NOT count toward this market's resolution.

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

Any usage of the term, regardless of context, will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market; however, other forms will NOT count.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).

This market is explicitly about Tucker Carlson's scheduled appearance at the TPUSA AmericaFest event on December 18, 2025. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such event is aired by December 18, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be video of the event.
Volume
$400
End Date
Dec 18, 2025
Created At
Dec 12, 2025, 7:44 PM UTC
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What will Tucker Carlson say at AmericaFest on December 18?

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Trump 10+ times

$72 Vol.

61%

Border / Immigration 5+ times

$0 Vol.

74%

Democrat / Democratic 5+ times

$1 Vol.

57%

War 5+ times

$17 Vol.

68%

America First

$47 Vol.

78%

Censor / Censorship

$4 Vol.

77%

Christian

$0 Vol.

81%

Credit / Buy Now Pay Later

$26 Vol.

37%

Drug

$31 Vol.

49%

Economy

$0 Vol.

65%

Foreign Policy

$114 Vol.

78%

Free Speech

$1 Vol.

78%

House / Housing

$2 Vol.

40%

Israel

$25 Vol.

72%

JD / Vance

$17 Vol.

44%

Loan / Debt

$0 Vol.

46%

Racist / Racism

$36 Vol.

48%

Regime Change

$0 Vol.

29%

Crypto / Bitcoin

$4 Vol.

18%

Ted Cruz

$2 Vol.

40%

About

Volume
$400
End Date
Dec 18, 2025
Created At
Dec 12, 2025, 7:44 PM UTC
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Beware of external links.