President Trump's recent public remarks and Truth Social posts have centered on escalating tensions with Iran, including threats of severe retaliation over potential disruptions to the Strait of Hormuz, alongside announcements of productive bilateral talks and a five-day delay in planned U.S. strikes on Iranian energy infrastructure. On March 27, he addressed the Future Investment Initiative, claiming a U.S.-Israeli war on Iran is forging a new Middle East, and spoke to farmers, pledging support amid the conflict; a Cabinet meeting followed on March 26. With sparse details on his schedule for March 29-April 4 beyond a possible Palm Beach departure and ongoing press rotations, traders assess his characteristic rhetoric on foreign policy crises, agriculture, and domestic priorities as key drivers of market probabilities in this closely watched mentions market.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated$462,399 Vol.
Mar 29, 2026
Paid a big price / Paying a big price
18%
Kaitlan Collins
4%
Eat our Lunch
7%
Ethanol
9%
Embargo
15%
Finish the Job
19%
Khamenei
22%
Chuck Norris
6%
$462,399 Vol.
Paid a big price / Paying a big price
$14,822 Vol.
18%
Kaitlan Collins
$3,922 Vol.
4%
Eat our Lunch
$1,189 Vol.
7%
Ethanol
$9,900 Vol.
9%
Embargo
$8,327 Vol.
15%
Finish the Job
$3,219 Vol.
19%
Khamenei
$50,408 Vol.
22%
Chuck Norris
$4,069 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between March 23, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.President Trump's recent public remarks and Truth Social posts have centered on escalating tensions with Iran, including threats of severe retaliation over potential disruptions to the Strait of Hormuz, alongside announcements of productive bilateral talks and a five-day delay in planned U.S. strikes on Iranian energy infrastructure. On March 27, he addressed the Future Investment Initiative, claiming a U.S.-Israeli war on Iran is forging a new Middle East, and spoke to farmers, pledging support amid the conflict; a Cabinet meeting followed on March 26. With sparse details on his schedule for March 29-April 4 beyond a possible Palm Beach departure and ongoing press rotations, traders assess his characteristic rhetoric on foreign policy crises, agriculture, and domestic priorities as key drivers of market probabilities in this closely watched mentions market.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between March 23, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 20, 2026, 4:12 PM ET
Volume
$462,399End Date
Mar 29, 2026Market Opened
Mar 20, 2026, 4:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between March 23, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.President Trump's recent public remarks and Truth Social posts have centered on escalating tensions with Iran, including threats of severe retaliation over potential disruptions to the Strait of Hormuz, alongside announcements of productive bilateral talks and a five-day delay in planned U.S. strikes on Iranian energy infrastructure. On March 27, he addressed the Future Investment Initiative, claiming a U.S.-Israeli war on Iran is forging a new Middle East, and spoke to farmers, pledging support amid the conflict; a Cabinet meeting followed on March 26. With sparse details on his schedule for March 29-April 4 beyond a possible Palm Beach departure and ongoing press rotations, traders assess his characteristic rhetoric on foreign policy crises, agriculture, and domestic priorities as key drivers of market probabilities in this closely watched mentions market.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between March 23, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Volume
$462,399End Date
Mar 29, 2026Market Opened
Mar 20, 2026, 4:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump's recent public remarks and Truth Social posts have centered on escalating tensions with Iran, including threats of severe retaliation over potential disruptions to the Strait of Hormuz, alongside announcements of productive bilateral talks and a five-day delay in planned U.S. strikes on Iranian energy infrastructure. On March 27, he addressed the Future Investment Initiative, claiming a U.S.-Israeli war on Iran is forging a new Middle East, and spoke to farmers, pledging support amid the conflict; a Cabinet meeting followed on March 26. With sparse details on his schedule for March 29-April 4 beyond a possible Palm Beach departure and ongoing press rotations, traders assess his characteristic rhetoric on foreign policy crises, agriculture, and domestic priorities as key drivers of market probabilities in this closely watched mentions market.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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Frequently Asked Questions