President Trump's public schedule in March 2026, including a National Prayer event on March 17 where he called the U.S. the "hottest nation anywhere in the world," a Cabinet meeting on March 26, FII PRIORITY Summit on March 27, and Executive Order signing on March 31, drove trader sentiment in this multi-outcome market tracking signature phrases like "Hottest Nation" (trader consensus ~47%), "Big Fat Cat" (~35-50%), and "Little Rocket Man" (~19%). Odds reflect his rhetorical patterns amid ongoing Iran diplomacy and negotiations, with bets spiking around verified Truth Social posts and speeches. Markets resolved March 31 based on exact mentions in official transcripts, with many outcomes now in review; historical base rates favor recurring nicknames during foreign policy addresses.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated$971,374 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
Third term
1%
$971,374 Vol.
Third term
$786,013 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between March 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
AI-generated audio or video will not count towards the resolution of this market.
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.President Trump's public schedule in March 2026, including a National Prayer event on March 17 where he called the U.S. the "hottest nation anywhere in the world," a Cabinet meeting on March 26, FII PRIORITY Summit on March 27, and Executive Order signing on March 31, drove trader sentiment in this multi-outcome market tracking signature phrases like "Hottest Nation" (trader consensus ~47%), "Big Fat Cat" (~35-50%), and "Little Rocket Man" (~19%). Odds reflect his rhetorical patterns amid ongoing Iran diplomacy and negotiations, with bets spiking around verified Truth Social posts and speeches. Markets resolved March 31 based on exact mentions in official transcripts, with many outcomes now in review; historical base rates favor recurring nicknames during foreign policy addresses.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between March 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
AI-generated audio or video will not count towards the resolution of this market.
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
AI-generated audio or video will not count towards the resolution of this market.
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Market Opened: Feb 26, 2026, 6:28 PM ET
Volume
$971,374End Date
Mar 31, 2026Market Opened
Feb 26, 2026, 6:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between March 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
AI-generated audio or video will not count towards the resolution of this market.
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.President Trump's public schedule in March 2026, including a National Prayer event on March 17 where he called the U.S. the "hottest nation anywhere in the world," a Cabinet meeting on March 26, FII PRIORITY Summit on March 27, and Executive Order signing on March 31, drove trader sentiment in this multi-outcome market tracking signature phrases like "Hottest Nation" (trader consensus ~47%), "Big Fat Cat" (~35-50%), and "Little Rocket Man" (~19%). Odds reflect his rhetorical patterns amid ongoing Iran diplomacy and negotiations, with bets spiking around verified Truth Social posts and speeches. Markets resolved March 31 based on exact mentions in official transcripts, with many outcomes now in review; historical base rates favor recurring nicknames during foreign policy addresses.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between March 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
AI-generated audio or video will not count towards the resolution of this market.
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
AI-generated audio or video will not count towards the resolution of this market.
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Volume
$971,374End Date
Mar 31, 2026Market Opened
Feb 26, 2026, 6:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
President Trump's public schedule in March 2026, including a National Prayer event on March 17 where he called the U.S. the "hottest nation anywhere in the world," a Cabinet meeting on March 26, FII PRIORITY Summit on March 27, and Executive Order signing on March 31, drove trader sentiment in this multi-outcome market tracking signature phrases like "Hottest Nation" (trader consensus ~47%), "Big Fat Cat" (~35-50%), and "Little Rocket Man" (~19%). Odds reflect his rhetorical patterns amid ongoing Iran diplomacy and negotiations, with bets spiking around verified Truth Social posts and speeches. Markets resolved March 31 based on exact mentions in official transcripts, with many outcomes now in review; historical base rates favor recurring nicknames during foreign policy addresses.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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