Trump's public remarks and Truth Social activity throughout March 2026, including press conferences on March 9, addresses to farmers on March 27, and statements on U.S. military de-escalation in Iran around March 1, largely avoided the signature nicknames and phrases tracked in this multi-outcome market, such as "hottest nation," "big fat cat," "little rocket man," or "third term." Traders' low implied probabilities on Yes shares reflect this absence, with a ongoing dispute over a partial "third term" reference in a late-March White House event clip ruled incomplete under resolution rules requiring exact phrasing. High volume ($481k) underscores interest, as final reviews proceed; upcoming April speeches could influence analogous mention markets.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated$945,045 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
Third term
3%
$945,045 Vol.
Third term
$759,115 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between March 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
AI-generated audio or video will not count towards the resolution of this market.
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.Trump's public remarks and Truth Social activity throughout March 2026, including press conferences on March 9, addresses to farmers on March 27, and statements on U.S. military de-escalation in Iran around March 1, largely avoided the signature nicknames and phrases tracked in this multi-outcome market, such as "hottest nation," "big fat cat," "little rocket man," or "third term." Traders' low implied probabilities on Yes shares reflect this absence, with a ongoing dispute over a partial "third term" reference in a late-March White House event clip ruled incomplete under resolution rules requiring exact phrasing. High volume ($481k) underscores interest, as final reviews proceed; upcoming April speeches could influence analogous mention markets.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between March 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
AI-generated audio or video will not count towards the resolution of this market.
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
AI-generated audio or video will not count towards the resolution of this market.
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Market Opened: Feb 26, 2026, 6:28 PM ET
Volume
$945,045End Date
Mar 31, 2026Market Opened
Feb 26, 2026, 6:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between March 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
AI-generated audio or video will not count towards the resolution of this market.
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.Trump's public remarks and Truth Social activity throughout March 2026, including press conferences on March 9, addresses to farmers on March 27, and statements on U.S. military de-escalation in Iran around March 1, largely avoided the signature nicknames and phrases tracked in this multi-outcome market, such as "hottest nation," "big fat cat," "little rocket man," or "third term." Traders' low implied probabilities on Yes shares reflect this absence, with a ongoing dispute over a partial "third term" reference in a late-March White House event clip ruled incomplete under resolution rules requiring exact phrasing. High volume ($481k) underscores interest, as final reviews proceed; upcoming April speeches could influence analogous mention markets.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between March 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
AI-generated audio or video will not count towards the resolution of this market.
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
AI-generated audio or video will not count towards the resolution of this market.
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Volume
$945,045End Date
Mar 31, 2026Market Opened
Feb 26, 2026, 6:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Trump's public remarks and Truth Social activity throughout March 2026, including press conferences on March 9, addresses to farmers on March 27, and statements on U.S. military de-escalation in Iran around March 1, largely avoided the signature nicknames and phrases tracked in this multi-outcome market, such as "hottest nation," "big fat cat," "little rocket man," or "third term." Traders' low implied probabilities on Yes shares reflect this absence, with a ongoing dispute over a partial "third term" reference in a late-March White House event clip ruled incomplete under resolution rules requiring exact phrasing. High volume ($481k) underscores interest, as final reviews proceed; upcoming April speeches could influence analogous mention markets.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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Frequently Asked Questions