Market icon
Politics·Trump

What will Trump say in April?

Market icon
Politics·Trump

What will Trump say in April?

$44,314 Vol.

Apr 30, 2026
Polymarket

$44,314 Vol.

Polymarket

N Word

$10,517 Vol.

8%

Reverse Migration

$25 Vol.

41%

White House Doctor

$39 Vol.

55%

Love Trump / Loves Trump

$435 Vol.

65%

RINO / Republican in Name Only

$3,933 Vol.

73%

Trump Was Right About Everything

$86 Vol.

51%

Discombobulator / Discombobulated

$202 Vol.

13%

Alien Dot Gov / Aliens Dot Gov

$64 Vol.

38%

Peacefully and Patriotically

$4 Vol.

45%

Kennedy Center

$493 Vol.

69%

Dog

$275 Vol.

60%

Gulf of Trump

$600 Vol.

25%

America Last

$37 Vol.

57%

Toronto

$440 Vol.

43%

Our great First Lady

$52 Vol.

63%

Trump Time

$59 Vol.

28%

Big League

$24 Vol.

48%

Not an Autopen / Not an Auto Pen

$111 Vol.

64%

Palestine

$244 Vol.

41%

Two Genders

$198 Vol.

55%

Maduro

$330 Vol.

75%

MVP

$736 Vol.

46%

Cocktail

$21 Vol.

40%

Dead by June

$3 Vol.

30%

Kim Jong Un

$16 Vol.

30%

Fuck / Fucking / Fucked

$563 Vol.

34%

Coward

$170 Vol.

49%

Mustache

$56 Vol.

15%

Braggadocious

$849 Vol.

17%

Paper Clip

$2,715 Vol.

65%

Mar-a-Lago

$202 Vol.

71%

Sovereign / Sovereignty

$3,462 Vol.

69%

Gulf of America

$26 Vol.

66%

Six Seven

$536 Vol.

36%

Gay

$154 Vol.

51%

Disgusting

$96 Vol.

78%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between April 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible. Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.President Trump's national address to the nation on April 1, 2026, regarding the ongoing war with Iran—urging oil-dependent countries to get involved—marks the market's opening development, with full transcripts analyzed for specific phrasing but no resolutions triggered for tracked terms. Traders focus on his distinctive rhetorical style in public remarks, including attacks on political opponents, references to signature policies, and personal anecdotes, amid a packed April schedule featuring the White House Easter Egg Roll on April 6, events with the Norway prime minister on April 24, and a Cabinet meeting on April 30. Ongoing foreign policy escalations and domestic executive actions, like the March 31 executive order, heighten anticipation for characteristic language in upcoming speeches.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between April 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).

A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.

Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Volume
$44,314
End Date
Apr 30, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 27, 2026, 5:41 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between April 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible. Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between April 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible. Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.President Trump's national address to the nation on April 1, 2026, regarding the ongoing war with Iran—urging oil-dependent countries to get involved—marks the market's opening development, with full transcripts analyzed for specific phrasing but no resolutions triggered for tracked terms. Traders focus on his distinctive rhetorical style in public remarks, including attacks on political opponents, references to signature policies, and personal anecdotes, amid a packed April schedule featuring the White House Easter Egg Roll on April 6, events with the Norway prime minister on April 24, and a Cabinet meeting on April 30. Ongoing foreign policy escalations and domestic executive actions, like the March 31 executive order, heighten anticipation for characteristic language in upcoming speeches.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between April 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).

A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.

Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Volume
$44,314
End Date
Apr 30, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 27, 2026, 5:41 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between April 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible. Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"What will Trump say in April?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 41+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Jesus" at 100%, followed by "Operation Epic Fury" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "What will Trump say in April?" has generated $44.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 27, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "What will Trump say in April?," browse the 41+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "What will Trump say in April?" is "Jesus" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Operation Epic Fury" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "What will Trump say in April?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.