Market icon
Politics·Trump

What will Trump say in April?

Market icon
Politics·Trump

What will Trump say in April?

$49,041 Vol.

Apr 30, 2026
Polymarket

$49,041 Vol.

Polymarket

N Word

$12,465 Vol.

7%

Reverse Migration

$29 Vol.

41%

White House Doctor

$40 Vol.

54%

Love Trump / Loves Trump

$437 Vol.

66%

RINO / Republican in Name Only

$3,942 Vol.

73%

Trump Was Right About Everything

$178 Vol.

37%

Discombobulator / Discombobulated

$255 Vol.

14%

Alien Dot Gov / Aliens Dot Gov

$66 Vol.

40%

Peacefully and Patriotically

$5 Vol.

31%

Kennedy Center

$524 Vol.

71%

Dog

$287 Vol.

67%

Gulf of Trump

$634 Vol.

29%

America Last

$643 Vol.

63%

Toronto

$454 Vol.

29%

Our great First Lady

$70 Vol.

62%

Trump Time

$60 Vol.

47%

Big League

$25 Vol.

48%

Not an Autopen / Not an Auto Pen

$113 Vol.

63%

Palestine

$251 Vol.

40%

Two Genders

$230 Vol.

55%

Maduro

$560 Vol.

76%

MVP

$739 Vol.

44%

Cocktail

$24 Vol.

40%

Dead by June

$4 Vol.

31%

Kim Jong Un

$30 Vol.

31%

Fuck / Fucking / Fucked

$1,032 Vol.

24%

Coward

$182 Vol.

53%

Mustache

$480 Vol.

16%

Braggadocious

$850 Vol.

19%

Paper Clip

$2,787 Vol.

39%

Mar-a-Lago

$218 Vol.

72%

Sovereign / Sovereignty

$3,559 Vol.

74%

Gulf of America

$28 Vol.

66%

Six Seven

$860 Vol.

39%

Gay

$159 Vol.

51%

Disgusting

$278 Vol.

84%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between April 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible. Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.President Trump's April 1 primetime address to the nation on Operation Epic Fury detailed U.S. military successes against Iran, including destruction of its navy and air force, curtailment of missile production, and progress toward preventing nuclear armament, without committing to a firm end date amid rising gasoline prices from related disruptions. The same day's White House Easter lunch remarks reiterated Iran regime change as an unintended achievement, critiqued NATO reliability, and promoted states' rights in education and welfare. With no tracked phrases mentioned in these initial speeches, trader consensus hinges on his rhetorical patterns during upcoming events: White House Easter Egg Roll on April 6, bilateral with Norway's PM on April 24, Cabinet meeting April 30, and 100-day rally April 29. The market tracks verifiable mentions through April 30.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between April 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).

A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.

Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Volume
$49,041
End Date
Apr 30, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 27, 2026, 5:41 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between April 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible. Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between April 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible. Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.President Trump's April 1 primetime address to the nation on Operation Epic Fury detailed U.S. military successes against Iran, including destruction of its navy and air force, curtailment of missile production, and progress toward preventing nuclear armament, without committing to a firm end date amid rising gasoline prices from related disruptions. The same day's White House Easter lunch remarks reiterated Iran regime change as an unintended achievement, critiqued NATO reliability, and promoted states' rights in education and welfare. With no tracked phrases mentioned in these initial speeches, trader consensus hinges on his rhetorical patterns during upcoming events: White House Easter Egg Roll on April 6, bilateral with Norway's PM on April 24, Cabinet meeting April 30, and 100-day rally April 29. The market tracks verifiable mentions through April 30.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between April 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).

A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.

Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Volume
$49,041
End Date
Apr 30, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 27, 2026, 5:41 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between April 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible. Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"What will Trump say in April?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 41+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Jesus" at 100%, followed by "Operation Epic Fury" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "What will Trump say in April?" has generated $49K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 27, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "What will Trump say in April?," browse the 41+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "What will Trump say in April?" is "Jesus" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Operation Epic Fury" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "What will Trump say in April?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.