Market icon

What will Trump say during the State of the Union address?

$51,724 Vol.

Jan 31, 2026

Rules

Donald Trump is scheduled to deliver the 2026 State of the Union address on February 24. You can read more about that here: https://mikejohnson.house.gov/news/documentsingle.aspx?DocumentID=2812

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at the specified event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Pluralization/possessive of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

This market is explicitly about Donald Trump's scheduled delivery of the 2026 State of the Union address. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.

If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
Volume
$51,724
End Date
Feb 24, 2026
Created At
Jan 5, 2026, 10:14 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
Donald Trump is scheduled to deliver the 2026 State of the Union address on February 24. You can read more about that here: https://mikejohnson.house.gov/news/documentsingle.aspx?DocumentID=2812 This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at the specified event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Pluralization/possessive of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. This market is explicitly about Donald Trump's scheduled delivery of the 2026 State of the Union address. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.

Beware of external links.

Market icon

What will Trump say during the State of the Union address?

$51,724 Vol.

America / American 25+ times

$6,062 Vol.

81%

Job 20+ times

$3,026 Vol.

56%

Million / Billion / Trillion 15+ times

$3,756 Vol.

79%

Biden 10+ times

$3,835 Vol.

38%

Border 7+ times

$1,662 Vol.

74%

AI / Artificial Intelligence 2+ times

$3,635 Vol.

77%

Hottest

$2,515 Vol.

79%

Kamala / Harris

$886 Vol.

41%

Kennedy / Autism

$547 Vol.

60%

Middle East

$228 Vol.

81%

Crypto / Bitcoin

$19,718 Vol.

39%

Israel / Gaza

$1,888 Vol.

85%

MAGA / Make America Great Again

$1,445 Vol.

74%

Black / Hispanic

$927 Vol.

59%

Gold Card / Trump Card

$1,592 Vol.

45%

About

Volume
$51,724
End Date
Feb 24, 2026
Created At
Jan 5, 2026, 10:14 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

Beware of external links.