Market icon

What will Trump say during address to Congress?

Market icon

What will Trump say during address to Congress?

$6,751,453 Vol.

Mar 4, 2025
Polymarket

$6,751,453 Vol.

Polymarket

Crypto/Bitcoin

$1,129,306 Vol.

No

NATO

$56,221 Vol.

No

Epstein

$192,230 Vol.

No

Ukraine

$255,342 Vol.

Yes

Trans/Transgender

$363,633 Vol.

Yes

Zelenskyy

$98,088 Vol.

Yes

Term Limit

$272,614 Vol.

No

Inflation 10+ times

$104,268 Vol.

No

DEI/Diversity Equity and Inclusion

$120,280 Vol.

Yes

Peace 10+ times

$50,490 Vol.

No

Million 10+ times

$59,333 Vol.

Yes

Beautiful 10+ times

$47,902 Vol.

Yes

Terrible 5+ times

$30,180 Vol.

No

Tariff 5+ times

$114,190 Vol.

Yes

Mandate 5+ times

$57,022 Vol.

No

Russia 3+ times

$45,854 Vol.

Yes

China 5+ times

$392,352 Vol.

Yes

Mexico 5+ times

$264,905 Vol.

Yes

Canada

$270,291 Vol.

Yes

AI/Artificial Intelligence

$359,161 Vol.

No

DOGE/Department of Government Efficiency

$379,354 Vol.

Yes

Elon/Musk

$820,795 Vol.

Yes

Greenland

$91,669 Vol.

Yes

Panama

$65,911 Vol.

Yes

Putin

$43,046 Vol.

Yes

Ceasefire

$38,317 Vol.

No

Hamas

$82,965 Vol.

No

Mineral

$108,451 Vol.

Yes

Unemployment

$54,549 Vol.

No

Retard / Retarded

$682,047 Vol.

No

Gulf of America

$100,689 Vol.

Yes

Donald Trump is scheduled to deliver the 2025 State of the Union address on March 4, 2025, 9:00 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the 2025 State of the Union address. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will not count.

If the 2025 State of the Union does not happen by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". If Trump ceases to be President of the United States for any length of time by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the press briefing.
Volume
$6,751,453
End Date
Mar 4, 2025
Market Opened
Jan 31, 2025, 6:32 PM ET
Donald Trump is scheduled to deliver the 2025 State of the Union address on March 4, 2025, 9:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the 2025 State of the Union address. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will not count. If the 2025 State of the Union does not happen by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". If Trump ceases to be President of the United States for any length of time by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the press briefing.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"What will Trump say during address to Congress?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 31 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Ukraine" at 100%, followed by "Trans/Transgender" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "What will Trump say during address to Congress?" has generated $6.8 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 31, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "What will Trump say during address to Congress?," browse the 31 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "What will Trump say during address to Congress?" is "Ukraine" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Trans/Transgender" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "What will Trump say during address to Congress?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.