Name: What will Trump say during Rogan podcast?
Start: 2024-10-23T17:47:18.984061Z
End: 2024-10-25T12:00:00Z

Use the internal polymarket geolocation service.

poly_geo

Improved notification preferences and types.

notifications_v2

funkit_deposit

funkit_withdraw

authenticated_book_ws

Improved in-game view for sports markets.

mobile_sports_overlay_v2

async_order_submission

Enable updates from the sports websocket.

sports_websocket

This is a market group on predicting the statements made by Trump during his interview on the Joe Rogan podcast scheduled to be released on Friday

Donald Trump has scheduled a podcast interview on The Joe Rogan Experience to be released on Friday, October 25, 2024.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "border" 20 or more times during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will count as long as "border" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to a political boundary between nations.

If this candidate cancels his appearance, or if the podcast release is otherwise cancelled or delayed past November 4, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be the released podcast and/or its transcript.

Border 20+ times

Donald Trump has scheduled a podcast interview on The Joe Rogan Experience to be released on Friday, October 25, 2024.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "tax" 10 or more times during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will count as long as "tax" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to a compulsory financial charge imposed by a government authority.

If this candidate cancels his appearance, or if the podcast release is otherwise cancelled or delayed past November 4, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be the released podcast and/or its transcript.

Tax 10+

Donald Trump has scheduled a podcast interview on The Joe Rogan Experience to be released on Friday, October 25, 2024.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "China" 5 or more times during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will count as long as "China" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the East Asian country officially titled the People's Republic of China.

If this candidate cancels his appearance, or if the podcast release is otherwise cancelled or delayed past November 4, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be the released podcast and/or its transcript.

China 5+ times

Donald Trump has scheduled a podcast interview on The Joe Rogan Experience to be released on Friday, October 25, 2024.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "Russia" 5 or more times during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will count as long as "Russia" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the European/Asian country officially named the Russian Federation.

If this candidate cancels his appearance, or if the podcast release is otherwise cancelled or delayed past November 4, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be the released podcast and/or its transcript.

Russia 5+ times

Donald Trump has scheduled a podcast interview on The Joe Rogan Experience to be released on Friday, October 25, 2024.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "trans" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will count as long as "trans" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to a person whose gender identity does not correspond with the sex registered for them at birth (e.g. "transgender" counts).

If this candidate cancels his appearance, or if the podcast release is otherwise cancelled or delayed past November 4, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be the released podcast and/or its transcript.

Trans

Donald Trump has scheduled a podcast interview on The Joe Rogan Experience to be released on Friday, October 25, 2024.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "trans" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will count as long as "tampon" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the feminine hygiene product.

If this candidate cancels his appearance, or if the podcast release is otherwise cancelled or delayed past November 4, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be the released podcast and/or its transcript.

Tampon

Donald Trump has scheduled a podcast interview on The Joe Rogan Experience to be released on Friday, October 25, 2024.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will count as long as "crypto" or "Bitcoin" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to decentralized cryptocurrency (e.g. "cryptocurrency-related" counts).

If this candidate cancels his appearance, or if the podcast release is otherwise cancelled or delayed past November 4, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be the released podcast and/or its transcript.

Crypto/Bitcoin

Donald Trump has scheduled a podcast interview on The Joe Rogan Experience to be released on Friday, October 25, 2024.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "weave" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will count as long as "weave" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to Donald Trump's manner of speech.

If this candidate cancels his appearance, or if the podcast release is otherwise cancelled or delayed past November 4, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be the released podcast and/or its transcript.

Weave

Donald Trump has scheduled a podcast interview on The Joe Rogan Experience to be released on Friday, October 25, 2024.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "McDonald's" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will count as long as "McDonald's" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the international fast food chain.

If this candidate cancels his appearance, or if the podcast release is otherwise cancelled or delayed past November 4, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be the released podcast and/or its transcript.

McDonald's

Donald Trump has scheduled a podcast interview on The Joe Rogan Experience to be released on Friday, October 25, 2024.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "Dark MAGA" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

If this candidate cancels his appearance, or if the podcast release is otherwise cancelled or delayed past November 4, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be the released podcast and/or its transcript.

Dark MAGA

Donald Trump has scheduled a podcast interview on The Joe Rogan Experience to be released on Friday, October 25, 2024.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "Melania" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will count as long as "Melania" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to Donald Trump's wife.

If this candidate cancels his appearance, or if the podcast release is otherwise cancelled or delayed past November 4, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be the released podcast and/or its transcript.

Melania

Donald Trump has scheduled a podcast interview on The Joe Rogan Experience to be released on Friday, October 25, 2024.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "Epstein" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will count as long as "Epstein" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to disgraced ex-financier Jeffrey Epstein.

If this candidate cancels his appearance, or if the podcast release is otherwise cancelled or delayed past November 4, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be the released podcast and/or its transcript.

Epstein

Donald Trump has scheduled a podcast interview on The Joe Rogan Experience to be released on Friday, October 25, 2024.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "alien" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will count as long as "alien" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to illegal immigrants or life of extraterrestrial origin.

If this candidate cancels his appearance, or if the podcast release is otherwise cancelled or delayed past November 4, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be the released podcast and/or its transcript.

Alien

Donald Trump has scheduled a podcast interview on The Joe Rogan Experience to be released on Friday, October 25, 2024.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "weed" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will count as long as "weed" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to marijuana or THC, or marijuana/THC products.

If this candidate cancels his appearance, or if the podcast release is otherwise cancelled or delayed past November 4, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be the released podcast and/or its transcript.

Weed

Donald Trump has scheduled a podcast interview on The Joe Rogan Experience to be released on Friday, October 25, 2024.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "cold plunge" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

If this candidate cancels his appearance, or if the podcast release is otherwise cancelled or delayed past November 4, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be the released podcast and/or its transcript.

Cold Plunge

Donald Trump has scheduled a podcast interview on The Joe Rogan Experience to be released on Friday, October 25, 2024.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "FBI" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will count as long as "FBI" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the US Federal Bureau of Investigation.

If this candidate cancels his appearance, or if the podcast release is otherwise cancelled or delayed past November 4, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be the released podcast and/or its transcript.

Donald Trump has scheduled a podcast interview on The Joe Rogan Experience to be released on Friday, October 25, 2024.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "vaccine" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will count as long as "vaccine" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to a substance used to stimulate immunity to a particular infectious disease or pathogen, typically prepared from an inactivated or weakened form of the causative agent or from its constituents or products.

If this candidate cancels his appearance, or if the podcast release is otherwise cancelled or delayed past November 4, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be the released podcast and/or its transcript.

Vaccine

Donald Trump has scheduled a podcast interview on The Joe Rogan Experience to be released on Friday, October 25, 2024.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "Pocahontas" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will count as long as "Pocahontas" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to either the Powhatan woman who married John Rolfe, or American politician Elizabeth Warren.

If this candidate cancels his appearance, or if the podcast release is otherwise cancelled or delayed past November 4, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be the released podcast and/or its transcript.

Pocahontas

Donald Trump has scheduled a podcast interview on The Joe Rogan Experience to be released on Friday, October 25, 2024.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "FEMA" or "Federal Emergency Management Agency" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will count as long as "FEMA" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the US Federal Emergency Management Agency.

If this candidate cancels his appearance, or if the podcast release is otherwise cancelled or delayed past November 4, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be the released podcast and/or its transcript.

FEMA

Donald Trump has scheduled a podcast interview on The Joe Rogan Experience to be released on Friday, October 25, 2024.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "Women's sports", "Woman's sports" or "Women sports" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

If this candidate cancels his appearance, or if the podcast release is otherwise cancelled or delayed past November 4, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be the released podcast and/or its transcript.

Women's Sports

Donald Trump has scheduled a podcast interview on The Joe Rogan Experience to be released on Friday, October 25, 2024.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "Dana" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will count as long as "Dana" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the person Dana White.

If this candidate cancels his appearance, or if the podcast release is otherwise cancelled or delayed past November 4, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be the released podcast and/or its transcript.

Dana

Donald Trump has scheduled a podcast interview on The Joe Rogan Experience to be released on Friday, October 25, 2024.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "fake news" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

If this candidate cancels his appearance, or if the podcast release is otherwise cancelled or delayed past November 4, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be the released podcast and/or its transcript.

Fake News

Donald Trump has scheduled a podcast interview on The Joe Rogan Experience to be released on Friday, October 25, 2024.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "Kennedy", "RFK", or "JFK" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will count as long as "Kennedy", "RFK", or "JFK", is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the famous American political family or one of its members.

If this candidate cancels his appearance, or if the podcast release is otherwise cancelled or delayed past November 4, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be the released podcast and/or its transcript.

Kennedy

Donald Trump has scheduled a podcast interview on The Joe Rogan Experience to be released on Friday, October 25, 2024.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "Elon" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will count as long as "Elon" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to billionaire CEO of Tesla Elon Musk.

If this candidate cancels his appearance, or if the podcast release is otherwise cancelled or delayed past November 4, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be the released podcast and/or its transcript.

Elon

Donald Trump has scheduled a podcast interview on The Joe Rogan Experience to be released on Friday, October 25, 2024.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "Hitler" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will count as long as "Hitler" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to Nazi ex-Führer of Germany Adolph Hitler.

If this candidate cancels his appearance, or if the podcast release is otherwise cancelled or delayed past November 4, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be the released podcast and/or its transcript.

Hitler

What will Trump say during Rogan podcast?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk is a guest on any "The Joe Rogan Experience" podcast episode between December 1, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If a consensus of credible reporting confirms Elon Musk recorded an episode with Rogan before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of when/if it is released.

The primary resolution source for this market will be Spotify and/or Youtube, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Elon Musk go on Joe Rogan before June 30?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump is interviewed by Tucker Carlson between November 17, 2025 and February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An interview is defined as a scheduled, recorded conversation where Donald Trump answers questions posed by Tucker Carlson. Press conferences or media briefings held by the White House with Carlson in attendance will not count.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a credible consensus of reporting that Donald Trump has recorded an interview with Tucker Carlson before February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, even if that interview is not yet released.

The resolution source for this market will be publicly available video footage of the interview; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Tucker Carlson interview Trump by February 28?

Donald Trump is scheduled to appear at the 48th Annual Kennedy Center Honors on December 7, 2025 (https://abcnews.go.com/Entertainment/wireStory/trump-play-starring-role-heading-big-weekend-kennedy-128062868).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at the specified event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Pluralization/possessive of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

This market is explicitly about Donald Trump's scheduled appearance at the Kennedy Center Honors event on December 7, 2025. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.

If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by December 7, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.

Will Trump say "King" or "Queen" at the Kennedy Center Honors event on December 7?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks Benjamin Netanyahu personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". 

This includes calling Netanyahu weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, or using other derogatory language. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.

Any public statement made by Trump qualifies.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Will Trump publicly disparage Netanyahu by December 31?

Donald Trump is scheduled to host a cabinet meeting on December 2, 2025.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at the specified event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Pluralization/possessive of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

This market is explicitly about the named, scheduled event December 2, 2025 (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.

If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by December 2, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.

Will Trump say "Hell" 4+ times during Cabinet Meeting on December 2?

This market will resolve based on whether Donald Trump announces that he will vote for or endorse the listed candidate in the election named in the title.

If Donald Trump does not announce an endorsement by the day before the scheduled election at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Donald Trump's endorsement.

Will Trump endorse Andy Barr for KY-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?

The World Cup Draw is scheduled to take place on December 5, 2025, 12PM ET. (https://www.espn.com/soccer/story/_/id/47165954/2026-world-cup-match-schedule-plan-revealed-day-draw).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the scheduled event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

If prerecorded clips are aired where Donald Trump is speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution.

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

Any usage of the term, regardless of context, will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market; however, other forms will NOT count.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).

This market is explicitly about Donald Trump's scheduled appearance at the FIFA World Cup Draw event on December 5, 2025. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such event is aired by December 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". 

The resolution source will be video of the event. Only the official English-language FIFA stream will count. The event will be streamed on the FIFA YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@fifa/streams).

Will Trump say "Peace" at the FIFA World Cup Draw on December 5?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET:

- Evidence Trump went to Epstein's Island made public
- Trump out as President
- Trump impeached
- Any Trump cabinet member out

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Trump-Epstein+Parlay.pdf

Trump-Epstein Parlay

This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Donald Trump announces that he is running for a third term as US President by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Trump must definitively state his intent to run (e.g., "I am running for a third term" or equivalent unambiguous language); vague comments, speculative or contingent remarks or jokes will not suffice. 

Past statements such his March 30 NBC phone interview where he stated "There are methods which you could do it, as you know... A lot of people want me to do it." or his November 13, 2024, where he stated "I suspect I won’t be running again unless you say, ‘He’s so good we’ve got to figure something else out.’" would NOT qualify. 

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by Donald Trump (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Trump announce run for 3rd term?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between December 1, 2025, 12:00 AM ET and December 7, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).

A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.

Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.

Will Trump say "Moscow" this week? (December 1 - 7)

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump publicly claims that any of the moon landings were faked by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The claim must come directly from Trump via a verified social media account, official public statement, or during a recorded interview, speech, or rally. Indirect remarks, jokes, or quotes taken out of context will not count.

The primary resolution source for this market will be statements made by Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used to confirm the legitimacy of such statements.

Trump says Moon Landing faked in 2025?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, in which he insults, mocks, or attacks Nicholas J. Fuentes personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This includes calling Nicholas J. Fuentes weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “Nick isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to Nicholas J. Fuentes’s professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “Nick isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.

A direct reference will qualify even if Nicholas J. Fuentes is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that he is the subject.

Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.

Will Trump disparage Nick Fuentes by December 31?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if evidence is made public confirming that Donald Trump has visited visited Little Saint James by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This includes but is not limited to flight logs, photographs, videos, court records, or sworn testimony that clearly place Trump on the island.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.


Evidence Trump went to Epstein's Island made public in 2025?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump Media & Technology Group (TMTG) buys any amount of $TRUMP (https://solscan.io/token/6p6xgHyF7AeE6TZkSmFsko444wqoP15icUSqi2jfGiPN), either directly or through a subsidiary, between July 21, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be announcements through official information from TMTG, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Trump Media buy $TRUMP in 2025?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump Media & Technology Group (TMTG) announces that it has acquired more Bitcoin between July 24 11:00 ET, 2025, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from TMTG, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.


Will Trump Media buy more Bitcoin in 2025?

If U.S. President Donald Trump visits the listed state between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial territory of the listed state. Whether or not Trump enters the state’s airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.

The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from the government of the United States of America, official information from Trump, or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g., https://twitter.com/POTUS); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Will Donald Trump visit Florida in 2026?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump and Ali Khamenei speak directly to one another between June 26, 7:00 PM ET, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any conversation that occurs directly between Donald Trump and Ali Khamenei will qualify, regardless of whether it is over the phone, videocall, or in person. The conversation must be voice-based, not text-based.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the governments of Iran and the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Trump x Khamenei talk in 2025? 

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between November 19, 2025, 12:00 PM ET and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.

Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.

Will Trump say "Polymarket" by December 31?

If U.S. President Donald Trump visits China by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.

The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Will Trump visit China by April 30?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk serves any time in custody in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison between June 5, and  December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Trump jail Elon Musk?

Trump's Treasury Secretary pick Scott Bessent has floated the idea of Trump naming a successor to Jerome Powell to serve as a "shadow chair", prior to the end of Powell's term, scheduled for May 2026. (see: https://www.nbcwashington.com/news/business/money-report/fed-chair-jerome-powell-can-serve-remainder-of-term-says-trumps-treasury-pick-bessent/3788991/).

This market will resolve to according the individual Donald Trump announces as his pick for the next Federal Reserve Chair. If Donald Trump does not announce his pick for the next Federal Reserve Chair by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No announcement by December 31".  

The resolution source for this market will be official information form Donald Trump or one of his official representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."

For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump meets with Benjamin Netanyahu between November 18 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A meeting is defined as any encounter where both the listed individual and Trump are present and interact with each other in person.

An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Will Trump meet with Netanyahu again before 2026?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump Administration publicly releases any files pertaining to the illegal activities of Jeffrey Epstein, which weren’t previously public by the listed date  (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying file must contain substantive information pertaining to the illegal activities of Jeffrey Epstein. 

The following will qualify: 
-Previously released documents in which redactions containing new substantive content such as names of associates or practices directly pertaining to the illegal activities of Jeffrey Epstein were removed. 
-Documents that weren’t previously public and contain information pertaining to  the illegal activities of Jeffrey Epstein, even if that information was already known from previous releases (e.g. a previously unreleased document pertaining to the illegal activities of Jeffrey Epstein which mentions Ghislaine Maxwell will qualify even if the information itself isn’t novel) 

The following will not qualify:
-Trivial metadata-only releases, duplicative redactions, or administrative cover sheets without substantive content.
-Files which were created after the start of the Trump Administration (January 20, 2025, 12:00 PM ET).
-Announcements of declassifications or releases that are not implemented within this market's timeframe.
-Releases made exclusively by federal courts (including unsealings), Congress or its committees, state or local governments, private entities, or leaks not officially attributable to the Executive Branch.
-Releases made by non-Executive entities, even if based on Executive Branch filings or requests.
-Court-ordered FOIA disclosures or FOIA litigation records provided by a court.
-Leaked, unofficial, or anonymously sourced disclosures will not qualify 

For a release to qualify, the Executive Branch must itself publish the files to the public, such as through an official website, public press release, or FOIA reading room. Transmissions to Congress, courts, or other non-Executive entities do not qualify unless the Executive Branch subsequently makes the files publicly accessible.

FOIA responses qualify only if the Executive Branch agency itself publicly releases the responsive files. FOIA disclosures published by courts as part of litigation do not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any individual is formally charged or criminally indicted for insider trading related to a tariff policy announcement made during the second Trump administration between July 11 and December 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from relevant governmental sources; however, a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Will anyone be charged for insider trading Trump tariff announcements?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Xi Jinping, Vladimir Putin, and Kim Jong Un all meet with Donald Trump between October 24, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A meeting is defined as any encounter where both the listed individual and Trump are present and interact with each other in person.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Trump meets Xi, Putin, and Kim by December 31?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET:

- Trump says Fuck, Fucking, or Fucked 
- House passes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution
- Trump declares another national emergency

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met.

The full rules for this market can be found here: 
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Panick+in+the+White+House.pdf

Panick in the White House

If Donald J. Trump visits Israel by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Israel. Whether or not Trump enters Israeli airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution.

The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from Trump, information released by his verified social media accounts, and official information from Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Will Trump visit Israel again by Dec 31?

The All-In Podcast is scheduled to release episodes every Friday. (https://www.youtube.com/@allin)

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during the next released episode of the All-In Podcast. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

If clips of old episodes or prerecorded clips are aired where people are speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution.

AI-generated audio or video will count toward this market's resolution.

Any usage of the term, regardless of context, will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market; however, other forms will NOT count.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).

If no such episode of the All-In Podcast is aired by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be audio of the event.

Will "Communist" or "Mamdani be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump, Vladimir Putin, and Volodymyr Zelensky are photographed or videotaped together, in the same frame, between August 6, 5:00 PM ET and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For this market to resolve to "Yes" the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic, not the result of artificial intelligence or video editing.

The resolution source for this market will be the images or video of Donald Trump, Vladimir Putin, and Volodymyr Zelensky together.

Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together in 2025?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump Media & Technology Group (TMTG) buys any amount of Ethereum, either directly or through a subsidiary, between July 21, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be announcements through official information from TMTG, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Trump Media buy Ethereum in 2025?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between December 1, 2025, 12:00 AM ET and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).

AI-generated audio or video will not count towards the resolution of this market.

A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.

Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.

Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.

Will Trump say "No more questions" in December?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump golfs on over 25% of days between January 20 and December 31, 2025 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve according to https://trumpgolftrack.com as of January 2, 2026, 12:00 PM. However, definitive photo or video evidence confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting may also be used to supplement the tally if the trumpgolftrack.com tally is incomplete. 

 


Will Trump spend >25% of 2025 presidency golfing?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Adam Kinzinger serves any time in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison between March 17 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Trump jail Adam Kinzinger?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Changpeng Zhao and Roger Ver receive a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

What will Trump say during Rogan podcast?

Trans
$53,927 Vol.
Yes

Hitler
$163,110 Vol.
No

Tampon
$58,081 Vol.
No

Crypto/Bitcoin
$207,846 Vol.
No

Weave
$25,131 Vol.
Yes

McDonald's
$53,010 Vol.
Yes

Dark MAGA
$29,024 Vol.
No

Melania
$49,266 Vol.
Yes

Epstein
$45,348 Vol.
No

Alien
$29,263 Vol.
Yes

Weed
$32,107 Vol.
No

Cold Plunge
$16,554 Vol.
No

FBI
$14,426 Vol.
Yes

Kennedy
$29,021 Vol.
Yes

Vaccine
$48,633 Vol.
Yes

Pocahontas
$16,917 Vol.
No

FEMA
$19,033 Vol.
No

Women's Sports
$21,649 Vol.
Yes

Dana
$36,615 Vol.
Yes

Fake News
$50,093 Vol.
No

Elon
$43,138 Vol.
Yes

Russia 5+ times
$18,993 Vol.
Yes

China 5+ times
$19,849 Vol.
Yes

Tax 10+
$29,635 Vol.
Yes

Border 20+ times
$42,113 Vol.
No

Market Context

What will Trump say during Rogan podcast?

Rules

What will Trump say during Rogan podcast?

Market Context

What will Trump say during Rogan podcast?

About

Related

What will Trump say during Rogan podcast?

Trans$53,927 Vol.Yescircle check

Hitler$163,110 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Tampon$58,081 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Crypto/Bitcoin$207,846 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Weave$25,131 Vol.Yescircle check

McDonald's$53,010 Vol.Yescircle check

Dark MAGA$29,024 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Melania$49,266 Vol.Yescircle check

Epstein$45,348 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Alien$29,263 Vol.Yescircle check

Weed$32,107 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Cold Plunge$16,554 Vol.Nocircle xmark

FBI$14,426 Vol.Yescircle check

Kennedy$29,021 Vol.Yescircle check

Vaccine$48,633 Vol.Yescircle check

Pocahontas$16,917 Vol.Nocircle xmark

FEMA$19,033 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Women's Sports$21,649 Vol.Yescircle check

Dana$36,615 Vol.Yescircle check

Fake News$50,093 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Elon$43,138 Vol.Yescircle check

Russia 5+ times$18,993 Vol.Yescircle check

China 5+ times$19,849 Vol.Yescircle check

Tax 10+$29,635 Vol.Yescircle check

Border 20+ times$42,113 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Market Context

What will Trump say during Rogan podcast?

Rules

What will Trump say during Rogan podcast?

Market Context

What will Trump say during Rogan podcast?

About

Related

Trans
$53,927 Vol.
Yes

Hitler
$163,110 Vol.
No

Tampon
$58,081 Vol.
No

Crypto/Bitcoin
$207,846 Vol.
No

Weave
$25,131 Vol.
Yes

McDonald's
$53,010 Vol.
Yes

Dark MAGA
$29,024 Vol.
No

Melania
$49,266 Vol.
Yes

Epstein
$45,348 Vol.
No

Alien
$29,263 Vol.
Yes

Weed
$32,107 Vol.
No

Cold Plunge
$16,554 Vol.
No

FBI
$14,426 Vol.
Yes

Kennedy
$29,021 Vol.
Yes

Vaccine
$48,633 Vol.
Yes

Pocahontas
$16,917 Vol.
No

FEMA
$19,033 Vol.
No

Women's Sports
$21,649 Vol.
Yes

Dana
$36,615 Vol.
Yes

Fake News
$50,093 Vol.
No

Elon
$43,138 Vol.
Yes

Russia 5+ times
$18,993 Vol.
Yes

China 5+ times
$19,849 Vol.
Yes

Tax 10+
$29,635 Vol.
Yes

Border 20+ times
$42,113 Vol.
No