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What will Trump say during No Tax on Tips Roundtable?

Market icon

What will Trump say during No Tax on Tips Roundtable?

$288,800 Vol.

Apr 16, 2026
Polymarket

$288,800 Vol.

Polymarket

Million / Billion / Trillion 15+ times

$6,876 Vol.

Yes

Tax 10+ times

$10,463 Vol.

Yes

Job 12+ times

$18,277 Vol.

No

Percent 10+ times

$5,575 Vol.

No

Win / Won 3+ times

$2,035 Vol.

Yes

Biden

$15,368 Vol.

Yes

Waitress

$7,701 Vol.

Yes

Farmer

$2,407 Vol.

Yes

Favored Nation

$8,697 Vol.

No

Made in America

$4,389 Vol.

Yes

Deficit

$3,728 Vol.

No

Hottest

$16,905 Vol.

Yes

Dow / S&P

$8,244 Vol.

Yes

Fed / Federal Reserve

$5,416 Vol.

No

Regulation

$1,213 Vol.

Yes

Great Big Beautiful Bill

$32,640 Vol.

Yes

Women's sports

$5,136 Vol.

Yes

Air force

$10,416 Vol.

No

Russia

$6,883 Vol.

Yes

Refund

$4,127 Vol.

Yes

DoorDash / McDonald's

$43,945 Vol.

Yes

Election

$5,369 Vol.

No

Fake News

$5,500 Vol.

Yes

Trump Account

$1,138 Vol.

Yes

-No Qualifying Event-

$10,663 Vol.

No

Child / Childhood

$4,209 Vol.

Yes

Crypto / Bitcoin

$41,483 Vol.

No

Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in an event titled "The President participates in a Roundtable and Remarks on Tax Day" in Las Vegas, Nevada on April 16, 2026, 7PM ET (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the Tax Day Roundtable scheduled for April 16, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). This market is explicitly about the event titled "The President participates in a Roundtable and Remarks on Tax Day" scheduled for April 16, 2026, 7PM ET (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by April 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.President Trump hosted a No Tax on Tips roundtable in Las Vegas on April 16, 2026, joined by Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and service workers like bartenders and a police officer, to promote the policy enacted in last year's Republican tax bill allowing deductions up to $25,000 on tips—including casino chips—for tax years 2025-2028. Timed post-Tax Day, Trump highlighted large refunds of $5,000-$8,000, quipped "You're welcome," dubbed the legislation the "Big Beautiful Bill," and shared a bellman's anecdote blessing the IRS, while tying benefits to midterm outcomes. Trader consensus drew from his longstanding campaign rhetoric originating at a 2024 Vegas rally, event scripting, and verified refund impacts in Nevada's tipped workforce hub.

Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in an event titled "The President participates in a Roundtable and Remarks on Tax Day" in Las Vegas, Nevada on April 16, 2026, 7PM ET (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the Tax Day Roundtable scheduled for April 16, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).

This market is explicitly about the event titled "The President participates in a Roundtable and Remarks on Tax Day" scheduled for April 16, 2026, 7PM ET (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by April 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
Volume
$288,800
End Date
Apr 16, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 14, 2026, 11:59 AM ET
Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in an event titled "The President participates in a Roundtable and Remarks on Tax Day" in Las Vegas, Nevada on April 16, 2026, 7PM ET (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the Tax Day Roundtable scheduled for April 16, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). This market is explicitly about the event titled "The President participates in a Roundtable and Remarks on Tax Day" scheduled for April 16, 2026, 7PM ET (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by April 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in an event titled "The President participates in a Roundtable and Remarks on Tax Day" in Las Vegas, Nevada on April 16, 2026, 7PM ET (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the Tax Day Roundtable scheduled for April 16, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). This market is explicitly about the event titled "The President participates in a Roundtable and Remarks on Tax Day" scheduled for April 16, 2026, 7PM ET (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by April 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.President Trump hosted a No Tax on Tips roundtable in Las Vegas on April 16, 2026, joined by Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and service workers like bartenders and a police officer, to promote the policy enacted in last year's Republican tax bill allowing deductions up to $25,000 on tips—including casino chips—for tax years 2025-2028. Timed post-Tax Day, Trump highlighted large refunds of $5,000-$8,000, quipped "You're welcome," dubbed the legislation the "Big Beautiful Bill," and shared a bellman's anecdote blessing the IRS, while tying benefits to midterm outcomes. Trader consensus drew from his longstanding campaign rhetoric originating at a 2024 Vegas rally, event scripting, and verified refund impacts in Nevada's tipped workforce hub.

Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in an event titled "The President participates in a Roundtable and Remarks on Tax Day" in Las Vegas, Nevada on April 16, 2026, 7PM ET (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the Tax Day Roundtable scheduled for April 16, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).

This market is explicitly about the event titled "The President participates in a Roundtable and Remarks on Tax Day" scheduled for April 16, 2026, 7PM ET (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by April 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
Volume
$288,800
End Date
Apr 16, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 14, 2026, 11:59 AM ET
Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in an event titled "The President participates in a Roundtable and Remarks on Tax Day" in Las Vegas, Nevada on April 16, 2026, 7PM ET (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the Tax Day Roundtable scheduled for April 16, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). This market is explicitly about the event titled "The President participates in a Roundtable and Remarks on Tax Day" scheduled for April 16, 2026, 7PM ET (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by April 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

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Frequently Asked Questions

"What will Trump say during No Tax on Tips Roundtable? " is a prediction market on Polymarket with 27 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Million / Billion / Trillion 15+ times" at 100%, followed by "Tax 10+ times" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "What will Trump say during No Tax on Tips Roundtable? " has generated $288.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 14, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "What will Trump say during No Tax on Tips Roundtable? ," browse the 27 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "What will Trump say during No Tax on Tips Roundtable? " is "Million / Billion / Trillion 15+ times" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Tax 10+ times" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "What will Trump say during No Tax on Tips Roundtable? " define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.