President Trump hosted a No Tax on Tips roundtable in Las Vegas on April 16, 2026, joined by Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and service workers like bartenders and a police officer, to promote the policy enacted in last year's Republican tax bill allowing deductions up to $25,000 on tips—including casino chips—for tax years 2025-2028. Timed post-Tax Day, Trump highlighted large refunds of $5,000-$8,000, quipped "You're welcome," dubbed the legislation the "Big Beautiful Bill," and shared a bellman's anecdote blessing the IRS, while tying benefits to midterm outcomes. Trader consensus drew from his longstanding campaign rhetoric originating at a 2024 Vegas rally, event scripting, and verified refund impacts in Nevada's tipped workforce hub.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$288,800 Vol.
Million / Billion / Trillion 15+ times
Yes
Tax 10+ times
Yes
Job 12+ times
No
Percent 10+ times
No
Win / Won 3+ times
Yes
Biden
Yes
Waitress
Yes
Farmer
Yes
Favored Nation
No
Made in America
Yes
Deficit
No
Hottest
Yes
Dow / S&P
Yes
Fed / Federal Reserve
No
Regulation
Yes
Great Big Beautiful Bill
Yes
Women's sports
Yes
Air force
No
Russia
Yes
Refund
Yes
DoorDash / McDonald's
Yes
Election
No
Fake News
Yes
Trump Account
Yes
-No Qualifying Event-
No
Child / Childhood
Yes
Crypto / Bitcoin
No
$288,800 Vol.
Million / Billion / Trillion 15+ times
Yes
Tax 10+ times
Yes
Job 12+ times
No
Percent 10+ times
No
Win / Won 3+ times
Yes
Biden
Yes
Waitress
Yes
Farmer
Yes
Favored Nation
No
Made in America
Yes
Deficit
No
Hottest
Yes
Dow / S&P
Yes
Fed / Federal Reserve
No
Regulation
Yes
Great Big Beautiful Bill
Yes
Women's sports
Yes
Air force
No
Russia
Yes
Refund
Yes
DoorDash / McDonald's
Yes
Election
No
Fake News
Yes
Trump Account
Yes
-No Qualifying Event-
No
Child / Childhood
Yes
Crypto / Bitcoin
No
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the Tax Day Roundtable scheduled for April 16, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
This market is explicitly about the event titled "The President participates in a Roundtable and Remarks on Tax Day" scheduled for April 16, 2026, 7PM ET (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by April 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 14, 2026, 11:59 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the Tax Day Roundtable scheduled for April 16, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
This market is explicitly about the event titled "The President participates in a Roundtable and Remarks on Tax Day" scheduled for April 16, 2026, 7PM ET (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by April 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
President Trump hosted a No Tax on Tips roundtable in Las Vegas on April 16, 2026, joined by Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and service workers like bartenders and a police officer, to promote the policy enacted in last year's Republican tax bill allowing deductions up to $25,000 on tips—including casino chips—for tax years 2025-2028. Timed post-Tax Day, Trump highlighted large refunds of $5,000-$8,000, quipped "You're welcome," dubbed the legislation the "Big Beautiful Bill," and shared a bellman's anecdote blessing the IRS, while tying benefits to midterm outcomes. Trader consensus drew from his longstanding campaign rhetoric originating at a 2024 Vegas rally, event scripting, and verified refund impacts in Nevada's tipped workforce hub.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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