President Trump held a White House press conference on April 6, 2026, flanked by Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth, CIA Director John Ratcliffe, and Joint Chiefs Chair Gen. Dan Caine, to detail the successful rescue of two U.S. airmen downed in Iran during Operation Epic Fury amid escalating airstrikes and naval engagements. Trump highlighted the massive operations involving 155 aircraft, claimed U.S. intercepts show Iranians pleading for continued bombing to spur regime change, and issued an ultimatum: Iran must accept a ceasefire and reopen the Strait of Hormuz by 8 p.m. ET April 7 or face destruction of all bridges and power plants, potentially "taking out" the country in one night. Traders assess resolution based on official video transcripts confirming these remarks, with Iran's response deadline looming as the next catalyst.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$503,537 Vol.
Iran / Iranian 15+ times
Yes
Hell 2+ times
Yes
Pilot / Crew / Staff 5+ times
Yes
Peace / War 3+ times
Yes
Easter / Egg
Yes
Equipment
Yes
Fuck / Fucking
No
Power / Strength
Yes
Left Behind
No
Biden
Yes
Obama
Yes
CIA / Ratcliffe
Yes
Nuclear dust
No
Dominance / Superiority
No
Make a Deal
Yes
AI / Cyber
No
Obliterated / Obliteration
Yes
Afghanistan
No
Moon
No
NATO
Yes
Kharg / Island
No
Caine
Yes
China
No
Bridge
Yes
New Regime / Regime Change
Yes
Venezuela
Yes
ISIS
Yes
-No Qualifying Event-
No
$503,537 Vol.
Iran / Iranian 15+ times
Yes
Hell 2+ times
Yes
Pilot / Crew / Staff 5+ times
Yes
Peace / War 3+ times
Yes
Easter / Egg
Yes
Equipment
Yes
Fuck / Fucking
No
Power / Strength
Yes
Left Behind
No
Biden
Yes
Obama
Yes
CIA / Ratcliffe
Yes
Nuclear dust
No
Dominance / Superiority
No
Make a Deal
Yes
AI / Cyber
No
Obliterated / Obliteration
Yes
Afghanistan
No
Moon
No
NATO
Yes
Kharg / Island
No
Caine
Yes
China
No
Bridge
Yes
New Regime / Regime Change
Yes
Venezuela
Yes
ISIS
Yes
-No Qualifying Event-
No
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the news conference scheduled for April 6, 2026 at 1PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
This market is explicitly about Trump's remarks at the news conference scheduled for 1PM ET on April 6, 2026. (See: https://x.com/WhiteHouse/status/2040776969973854657). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by April 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 5, 2026, 6:13 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the news conference scheduled for April 6, 2026 at 1PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
This market is explicitly about Trump's remarks at the news conference scheduled for 1PM ET on April 6, 2026. (See: https://x.com/WhiteHouse/status/2040776969973854657). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by April 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
President Trump held a White House press conference on April 6, 2026, flanked by Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth, CIA Director John Ratcliffe, and Joint Chiefs Chair Gen. Dan Caine, to detail the successful rescue of two U.S. airmen downed in Iran during Operation Epic Fury amid escalating airstrikes and naval engagements. Trump highlighted the massive operations involving 155 aircraft, claimed U.S. intercepts show Iranians pleading for continued bombing to spur regime change, and issued an ultimatum: Iran must accept a ceasefire and reopen the Strait of Hormuz by 8 p.m. ET April 7 or face destruction of all bridges and power plants, potentially "taking out" the country in one night. Traders assess resolution based on official video transcripts confirming these remarks, with Iran's response deadline looming as the next catalyst.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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