$89,676 Vol.
Dec 4, 2025
Thank 10+ times
Yes
Christmas 8+ times
No
Beautiful / Job 5+ times
Yes
God / Jesus 5+ times
Yes
Family / Friend 3+ times
No
Joe / Biden
No
Melania
Yes
Peace / War
Yes
Countdown / Count down
Yes
Dream
No
Bible
No
Hannukah / Kwanzaa
Yes
Angel
No
$89,676 Vol.
Thank 10+ times
$2,768 Vol.
Yes
Christmas 8+ times
$13,880 Vol.
No
Beautiful / Job 5+ times
$5,980 Vol.
Yes
God / Jesus 5+ times
$4,714 Vol.
Yes
Family / Friend 3+ times
$13,082 Vol.
No
Joe / Biden
$21,019 Vol.
No
Melania
$7,671 Vol.
Yes
Peace / War
$1,545 Vol.
Yes
Countdown / Count down
$4,051 Vol.
Yes
Dream
$3,632 Vol.
No
Bible
$4,377 Vol.
No
Hannukah / Kwanzaa
$1,927 Vol.
Yes
Angel
$5,030 Vol.
No
Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in an event titled "The President and The First Lady participate in the National Christmas Tree Lighting" in Washington on December 4, 2025, 6:00PM ET (see https://www.nbcwashington.com/news/local/president-trump-to-light-national-christmas-tree-thursday-expect-these-road-closures/4023736/).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at the specified event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Pluralization/possessive of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
This market is explicitly about the scheduled event titled "The President and The First Lady participate in the National Christmas Tree Lighting" on December 4, 2025, 6:00PM ET (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.
If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by December 4, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in an event titled "The President and The First Lady participate in the National Christmas Tree Lighting" in Washington on December 4, 2025, 6:00PM ET (see https://www.nbcwashington.com/news/local/president-trump-to-light-national-christmas-tree-thursday-expect-these-road-closures/4023736/).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at the specified event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Pluralization/possessive of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
This market is explicitly about the scheduled event titled "The President and The First Lady participate in the National Christmas Tree Lighting" on December 4, 2025, 6:00PM ET (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.
If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by December 4, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at the specified event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Pluralization/possessive of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
This market is explicitly about the scheduled event titled "The President and The First Lady participate in the National Christmas Tree Lighting" on December 4, 2025, 6:00PM ET (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.
If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by December 4, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Dec 4, 2025, 9:42 AM ET
Volume
$89,676End Date
Dec 4, 2025Market Opened
Dec 4, 2025, 9:42 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No




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Frequently Asked Questions