What will Trump say during Christmas Tree Lighting on December 4?
$63,111 Vol.
OUTCOME
% CHANCE
Thank 10+ times
$2,768 Vol.
100%
Thank 10+ times
$2,768 Vol.
100%
Christmas 8+ times
$10,229 Vol.
2%
Christmas 8+ times
$10,229 Vol.
2%
Beautiful / Job 5+ times
$5,975 Vol.
100%
Beautiful / Job 5+ times
$5,975 Vol.
100%
God / Jesus 5+ times
$4,714 Vol.
100%
God / Jesus 5+ times
$4,714 Vol.
100%
Family / Friend 3+ times
$2,490 Vol.
2%
Family / Friend 3+ times
$2,490 Vol.
2%
Joe / Biden
$16,264 Vol.
1%
Joe / Biden
$16,264 Vol.
1%
Melania
$7,671 Vol.
100%
Melania
$7,671 Vol.
100%
Peace / War
$1,545 Vol.
100%
Peace / War
$1,545 Vol.
100%
Countdown / Count down
$4,051 Vol.
100%
Countdown / Count down
$4,051 Vol.
100%
Dream
$1,166 Vol.
1%
Dream
$1,166 Vol.
1%
Bible
$1,422 Vol.
1%
Bible
$1,422 Vol.
1%
Hannukah / Kwanzaa
$1,927 Vol.
100%
Hannukah / Kwanzaa
$1,927 Vol.
100%
Angel
$2,889 Vol.
2%
Angel
$2,889 Vol.
2%
Rules
Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in an event titled "The President and The First Lady participate in the National Christmas Tree Lighting" in Washington on December 4, 2025, 6:00PM ET (see https://www.nbcwashington.com/news/local/president-trump-to-light-national-christmas-tree-thursday-expect-these-road-closures/4023736/).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at the specified event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Pluralization/possessive of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
This market is explicitly about the scheduled event titled "The President and The First Lady participate in the National Christmas Tree Lighting" on December 4, 2025, 6:00PM ET (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.
If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by December 4, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at the specified event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Pluralization/possessive of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
This market is explicitly about the scheduled event titled "The President and The First Lady participate in the National Christmas Tree Lighting" on December 4, 2025, 6:00PM ET (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.
If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by December 4, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
Created At: Dec 4, 2025, 2:42 PM
Volume
$63,111End Date
Dec 4, 2025Created At
Dec 4, 2025, 2:42 PMResolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: Yes
Dispute window
Final
$63,111 Vol.
What will Trump say during Christmas Tree Lighting on December 4?
OUTCOME
% CHANCE
Thank 10+ times
$2,768 Vol.
100%
Christmas 8+ times
$10,229 Vol.
2%
Beautiful / Job 5+ times
$5,975 Vol.
100%
God / Jesus 5+ times
$4,714 Vol.
100%
Family / Friend 3+ times
$2,490 Vol.
2%
Joe / Biden
$16,264 Vol.
1%
Melania
$7,671 Vol.
100%
Peace / War
$1,545 Vol.
100%
Countdown / Count down
$4,051 Vol.
100%
Dream
$1,166 Vol.
1%
Bible
$1,422 Vol.
1%
Hannukah / Kwanzaa
$1,927 Vol.
100%
Angel
$2,889 Vol.
2%
About
Volume
$63,111End Date
Dec 4, 2025Created At
Dec 4, 2025, 2:42 PMResolver
0x65070BE91...



Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.