Market icon
Politics·Trump

What will Trump say during Arizona rally?

Market icon
Politics·Trump

What will Trump say during Arizona rally?

$1,368,294 Vol.

Sep 12, 2024
Polymarket

$1,368,294 Vol.

Polymarket

Rig/Rigged

$219,921 Vol.

Yes

Fraud

$103,058 Vol.

No

Cat

$190,061 Vol.

No

Dog

$26,528 Vol.

Yes

Springfield

$52,117 Vol.

Yes

Moderator

$50,000 Vol.

No

Abortion

$55,704 Vol.

Yes

Border 15+ times

$98,934 Vol.

Yes

Abdul

$32,467 Vol.

No

Fact Check

$116,895 Vol.

No

Comrade Kamala 3+ times

$112,130 Vol.

Yes

China 5+ times

$43,307 Vol.

No

Tampon

$68,327 Vol.

No

Crypto/Bitcoin

$164,989 Vol.

No

MAGA 4+ times

$22,035 Vol.

No

Veto

$11,823 Vol.

No

Donald Trump has scheduled a rally to be held on September 12 in Tucson, Arizona. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "rig" or "rigged" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "rig" or "rigged" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to managing or conducting (something) fraudulently so as to produce a result or situation that is advantageous to a particular person. If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond September 12, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the video of the speech.Donald Trump has scheduled a rally to be held on September 12 in Tucson, Arizona. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "fraud" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "fraud" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to wrongful or criminal deception intended to result in financial or personal gain. If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond September 12, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the video of the speech.Donald Trump has scheduled a rally to be held on September 12 in Tucson, Arizona. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "cat" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "cat" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to a small domesticated carnivorous mammal with soft fur, a short snout, and retractable claws. If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond September 12, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the video of the speech.Donald Trump has scheduled a rally to be held on September 12 in Tucson, Arizona. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "dog" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "dog" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to a domesticated carnivorous mammal that typically has a long snout, an acute sense of smell, nonretractable claws, and a barking, howling, or whining voice. If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond September 12, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the video of the speech.Donald Trump has scheduled a rally to be held on September 12 in Tucson, Arizona. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "Springfield" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "Springfield" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the US city Springfield, Ohio. If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond September 12, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the video of the speech.Donald Trump has scheduled a rally to be held on September 12 in Tucson, Arizona. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "moderator" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "moderator" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to someone who presides over an assembly, meeting, or debate. If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond September 12, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the video of the speech.Donald Trump has scheduled a rally to be held on September 12 in Tucson, Arizona. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "abortion" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "abortion" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the deliberate termination of a human pregnancy. If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond September 12, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the video of the speech.Donald Trump has scheduled a rally to be held on September 12 in Tucson, Arizona. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "border" 15 or more times during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "border" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to belonging to a political boundary between nations. If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond September 12, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the video of the speech.Donald Trump has scheduled a rally to be held on September 12 in Tucson, Arizona. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "Abdul" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "Abdul" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to an erroneous name for the leader of the Taliban. If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond September 12, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the video of the speech.Donald Trump has scheduled a rally to be held on September 12 in Tucson, Arizona. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "fact check" or "fact checked" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the phrase regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the phrase will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond September 12, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the video of the speech.Donald Trump has scheduled a rally to be held on September 12 in Tucson, Arizona. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "Comrade Kamala" 3 or more times during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the phrase regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the phrase will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond September 12, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the video of the speech.Donald Trump has scheduled a rally to be held on September 12 in Tucson, Arizona. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "China" 5 or more times during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "China" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the East Asian country named the People's Republic of China. If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond September 12, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the video of the speech.Donald Trump has scheduled a rally to be held on September 12 in Tucson, Arizona. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "tampon" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "tampon" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the feminine hygiene product. If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond September 12, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the video of the speech.Donald Trump has scheduled a rally to be held on September 12 in Tucson, Arizona. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "crypto" or "Bitcoin" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to decentralized cryptocurrency (e.g. "cryptocurrency-related" counts). If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond September 12, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the video of the speech.Donald Trump has scheduled a rally to be held on September 12 in Tucson, Arizona. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "MAGA" and/or "make America great again" 4 or more times during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "MAGA" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to making America great again (e.g. "MAGA-themed" counts). If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond September 12, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the video of the speech.Donald Trump has scheduled a rally to be held on September 12 in Tucson, Arizona. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "veto" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the phrase regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the phrase will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "veto" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the Presidential act of stopping a bill from going into law. If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond September 12, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the video of the speech.

Donald Trump has scheduled a rally to be held on September 12 in Tucson, Arizona.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "rig" or "rigged" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will count as long as "rig" or "rigged" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to managing or conducting (something) fraudulently so as to produce a result or situation that is advantageous to a particular person.

If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond September 12, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be the video of the speech.
Volume
$1,368,294
End Date
Sep 12, 2024
Market Opened
Sep 11, 2024, 1:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x6A9D22261...
Donald Trump has scheduled a rally to be held on September 12 in Tucson, Arizona. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "rig" or "rigged" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "rig" or "rigged" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to managing or conducting (something) fraudulently so as to produce a result or situation that is advantageous to a particular person. If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond September 12, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the video of the speech.

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

Donald Trump has scheduled a rally to be held on September 12 in Tucson, Arizona. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "rig" or "rigged" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "rig" or "rigged" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to managing or conducting (something) fraudulently so as to produce a result or situation that is advantageous to a particular person. If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond September 12, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the video of the speech.Donald Trump has scheduled a rally to be held on September 12 in Tucson, Arizona. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "fraud" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "fraud" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to wrongful or criminal deception intended to result in financial or personal gain. If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond September 12, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the video of the speech.Donald Trump has scheduled a rally to be held on September 12 in Tucson, Arizona. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "cat" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "cat" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to a small domesticated carnivorous mammal with soft fur, a short snout, and retractable claws. If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond September 12, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the video of the speech.Donald Trump has scheduled a rally to be held on September 12 in Tucson, Arizona. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "dog" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "dog" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to a domesticated carnivorous mammal that typically has a long snout, an acute sense of smell, nonretractable claws, and a barking, howling, or whining voice. If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond September 12, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the video of the speech.Donald Trump has scheduled a rally to be held on September 12 in Tucson, Arizona. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "Springfield" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "Springfield" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the US city Springfield, Ohio. If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond September 12, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the video of the speech.Donald Trump has scheduled a rally to be held on September 12 in Tucson, Arizona. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "moderator" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "moderator" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to someone who presides over an assembly, meeting, or debate. If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond September 12, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the video of the speech.Donald Trump has scheduled a rally to be held on September 12 in Tucson, Arizona. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "abortion" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "abortion" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the deliberate termination of a human pregnancy. If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond September 12, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the video of the speech.Donald Trump has scheduled a rally to be held on September 12 in Tucson, Arizona. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "border" 15 or more times during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "border" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to belonging to a political boundary between nations. If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond September 12, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the video of the speech.Donald Trump has scheduled a rally to be held on September 12 in Tucson, Arizona. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "Abdul" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "Abdul" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to an erroneous name for the leader of the Taliban. If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond September 12, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the video of the speech.Donald Trump has scheduled a rally to be held on September 12 in Tucson, Arizona. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "fact check" or "fact checked" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the phrase regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the phrase will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond September 12, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the video of the speech.Donald Trump has scheduled a rally to be held on September 12 in Tucson, Arizona. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "Comrade Kamala" 3 or more times during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the phrase regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the phrase will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond September 12, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the video of the speech.Donald Trump has scheduled a rally to be held on September 12 in Tucson, Arizona. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "China" 5 or more times during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "China" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the East Asian country named the People's Republic of China. If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond September 12, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the video of the speech.Donald Trump has scheduled a rally to be held on September 12 in Tucson, Arizona. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "tampon" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "tampon" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the feminine hygiene product. If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond September 12, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the video of the speech.Donald Trump has scheduled a rally to be held on September 12 in Tucson, Arizona. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "crypto" or "Bitcoin" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to decentralized cryptocurrency (e.g. "cryptocurrency-related" counts). If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond September 12, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the video of the speech.Donald Trump has scheduled a rally to be held on September 12 in Tucson, Arizona. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "MAGA" and/or "make America great again" 4 or more times during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "MAGA" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to making America great again (e.g. "MAGA-themed" counts). If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond September 12, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the video of the speech.Donald Trump has scheduled a rally to be held on September 12 in Tucson, Arizona. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "veto" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the phrase regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the phrase will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "veto" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the Presidential act of stopping a bill from going into law. If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond September 12, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the video of the speech.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"What will Trump say during Arizona rally?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 16 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Rig/Rigged" at 100%, followed by "Dog" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "What will Trump say during Arizona rally?" has generated $1.4 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Sep 11, 2024. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "What will Trump say during Arizona rally?," browse the 16 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "What will Trump say during Arizona rally?" is "Rig/Rigged" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Dog" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "What will Trump say during Arizona rally?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.