President Trump's April 1, 2026, primetime address to the nation provided the first major White House update on the month-old U.S.-Israeli war against Iran under Operation Epic Fury, following Iranian missile barrages on Israel and threats to close the Strait of Hormuz, a vital global oil chokepoint. Announced days earlier amid oil prices spiking above $100 per barrel and Trump's denied claim of an Iranian ceasefire request, the speech shaped trader consensus on escalation risks versus de-escalation signals. Trump stated core objectives are nearing completion with possible U.S. withdrawal in 2-3 weeks, but vowed "extremely hard" airstrikes on Iranian energy infrastructure if the Strait stays blocked, calling on allies to reopen it. No immediate follow-up events scheduled, though congressional funding votes loom on related security operations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated$2,340,912 Vol.
God 3+ times
Yes
Oil / Gas 3+ times
Yes
Objective / Goal 3+ times
Yes
Operation Epic Fury
Yes
MAGA / Make America Great Again
No
Proxy / Hezbollah
Yes
Bibi / Netanyahu
No
Ceasefire / Peace Deal
No
Six Seven
No
Hormuz
Yes
Khamenei / Khomeini
No
Kharg / Island
No
Peace Through Strength
No
Fake News
No
Obliterated / Obliteration
Yes
Mission Accomplished
No
Crypto / Bitcoin
No
NATO
No
Nuclear
Yes
Regime Change
Yes
Congress
No
Vance / Rubio
No
Qatar
Yes
Obama
Yes
April Fool / April Fool's
No
Holy / Evil
Yes
Sacrifice
No
-No Qualifying Event-
No
$2,340,912 Vol.
God 3+ times
Yes
Oil / Gas 3+ times
Yes
Objective / Goal 3+ times
Yes
Operation Epic Fury
Yes
MAGA / Make America Great Again
No
Proxy / Hezbollah
Yes
Bibi / Netanyahu
No
Ceasefire / Peace Deal
No
Six Seven
No
Hormuz
Yes
Khamenei / Khomeini
No
Kharg / Island
No
Peace Through Strength
No
Fake News
No
Obliterated / Obliteration
Yes
Mission Accomplished
No
Crypto / Bitcoin
No
NATO
No
Nuclear
Yes
Regime Change
Yes
Congress
No
Vance / Rubio
No
Qatar
Yes
Obama
Yes
April Fool / April Fool's
No
Holy / Evil
Yes
Sacrifice
No
-No Qualifying Event-
No
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the Address to the Nation scheduled for April 1, 2026 at 9PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
This market is explicitly about Trump's remarks at the event titled "The President delivers an Address to the Nation" scheduled for 9PM ET on April 1, 2026. (See: https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by April 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 31, 2026, 11:10 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the Address to the Nation scheduled for April 1, 2026 at 9PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
This market is explicitly about Trump's remarks at the event titled "The President delivers an Address to the Nation" scheduled for 9PM ET on April 1, 2026. (See: https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by April 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
President Trump's April 1, 2026, primetime address to the nation provided the first major White House update on the month-old U.S.-Israeli war against Iran under Operation Epic Fury, following Iranian missile barrages on Israel and threats to close the Strait of Hormuz, a vital global oil chokepoint. Announced days earlier amid oil prices spiking above $100 per barrel and Trump's denied claim of an Iranian ceasefire request, the speech shaped trader consensus on escalation risks versus de-escalation signals. Trump stated core objectives are nearing completion with possible U.S. withdrawal in 2-3 weeks, but vowed "extremely hard" airstrikes on Iranian energy infrastructure if the Strait stays blocked, calling on allies to reopen it. No immediate follow-up events scheduled, though congressional funding votes loom on related security operations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated



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