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What will Trump say during Address to the Nation on April 1?

Market icon

What will Trump say during Address to the Nation on April 1?

$2,340,912 Vol.

Apr 1, 2026
Polymarket

$2,340,912 Vol.

Polymarket

God 3+ times

$46,286 Vol.

Yes

Oil / Gas 3+ times

$54,135 Vol.

Yes

Objective / Goal 3+ times

$19,875 Vol.

Yes

Operation Epic Fury

$86,377 Vol.

Yes

MAGA / Make America Great Again

$38,059 Vol.

No

Proxy / Hezbollah

$35,257 Vol.

Yes

Bibi / Netanyahu

$60,102 Vol.

No

Ceasefire / Peace Deal

$101,663 Vol.

No

Six Seven

$68,982 Vol.

No

Hormuz

$146,676 Vol.

Yes

Khamenei / Khomeini

$40,940 Vol.

No

Kharg / Island

$53,243 Vol.

No

Peace Through Strength

$15,045 Vol.

No

Fake News

$53,758 Vol.

No

Obliterated / Obliteration

$17,495 Vol.

Yes

Mission Accomplished

$48,249 Vol.

No

Crypto / Bitcoin

$809,322 Vol.

No

NATO

$165,146 Vol.

No

Nuclear

$125,725 Vol.

Yes

Regime Change

$51,161 Vol.

Yes

Congress

$6,340 Vol.

No

Vance / Rubio

$9,166 Vol.

No

Qatar

$4,662 Vol.

Yes

Obama

$17,107 Vol.

Yes

April Fool / April Fool's

$145,191 Vol.

No

Holy / Evil

$1,397 Vol.

Yes

Sacrifice

$16,086 Vol.

No

-No Qualifying Event-

$103,467 Vol.

No

Donald Trump is scheduled to deliver an Address to the Nation at 9PM ET on April 1, 2026. (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the Address to the Nation scheduled for April 1, 2026 at 9PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). This market is explicitly about Trump's remarks at the event titled "The President delivers an Address to the Nation" scheduled for 9PM ET on April 1, 2026. (See: https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by April 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.President Trump's April 1, 2026, primetime address to the nation provided the first major White House update on the month-old U.S.-Israeli war against Iran under Operation Epic Fury, following Iranian missile barrages on Israel and threats to close the Strait of Hormuz, a vital global oil chokepoint. Announced days earlier amid oil prices spiking above $100 per barrel and Trump's denied claim of an Iranian ceasefire request, the speech shaped trader consensus on escalation risks versus de-escalation signals. Trump stated core objectives are nearing completion with possible U.S. withdrawal in 2-3 weeks, but vowed "extremely hard" airstrikes on Iranian energy infrastructure if the Strait stays blocked, calling on allies to reopen it. No immediate follow-up events scheduled, though congressional funding votes loom on related security operations.

Donald Trump is scheduled to deliver an Address to the Nation at 9PM ET on April 1, 2026. (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the Address to the Nation scheduled for April 1, 2026 at 9PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

This market is explicitly about Trump's remarks at the event titled "The President delivers an Address to the Nation" scheduled for 9PM ET on April 1, 2026. (See: https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by April 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
Volume
$2,340,912
End Date
Apr 1, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 31, 2026, 11:10 PM ET
Donald Trump is scheduled to deliver an Address to the Nation at 9PM ET on April 1, 2026. (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the Address to the Nation scheduled for April 1, 2026 at 9PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). This market is explicitly about Trump's remarks at the event titled "The President delivers an Address to the Nation" scheduled for 9PM ET on April 1, 2026. (See: https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by April 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

Donald Trump is scheduled to deliver an Address to the Nation at 9PM ET on April 1, 2026. (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the Address to the Nation scheduled for April 1, 2026 at 9PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). This market is explicitly about Trump's remarks at the event titled "The President delivers an Address to the Nation" scheduled for 9PM ET on April 1, 2026. (See: https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by April 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.President Trump's April 1, 2026, primetime address to the nation provided the first major White House update on the month-old U.S.-Israeli war against Iran under Operation Epic Fury, following Iranian missile barrages on Israel and threats to close the Strait of Hormuz, a vital global oil chokepoint. Announced days earlier amid oil prices spiking above $100 per barrel and Trump's denied claim of an Iranian ceasefire request, the speech shaped trader consensus on escalation risks versus de-escalation signals. Trump stated core objectives are nearing completion with possible U.S. withdrawal in 2-3 weeks, but vowed "extremely hard" airstrikes on Iranian energy infrastructure if the Strait stays blocked, calling on allies to reopen it. No immediate follow-up events scheduled, though congressional funding votes loom on related security operations.

Donald Trump is scheduled to deliver an Address to the Nation at 9PM ET on April 1, 2026. (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the Address to the Nation scheduled for April 1, 2026 at 9PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

This market is explicitly about Trump's remarks at the event titled "The President delivers an Address to the Nation" scheduled for 9PM ET on April 1, 2026. (See: https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by April 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
Volume
$2,340,912
End Date
Apr 1, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 31, 2026, 11:10 PM ET
Donald Trump is scheduled to deliver an Address to the Nation at 9PM ET on April 1, 2026. (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the Address to the Nation scheduled for April 1, 2026 at 9PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). This market is explicitly about Trump's remarks at the event titled "The President delivers an Address to the Nation" scheduled for 9PM ET on April 1, 2026. (See: https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by April 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"What will Trump say during Address to the Nation on April 1? " is a prediction market on Polymarket with 28 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "God 3+ times" at 100%, followed by "Oil / Gas 3+ times" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "What will Trump say during Address to the Nation on April 1? " has generated $2.3 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 1, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "What will Trump say during Address to the Nation on April 1? ," browse the 28 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "What will Trump say during Address to the Nation on April 1? " is "God 3+ times" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Oil / Gas 3+ times" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "What will Trump say during Address to the Nation on April 1? " define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.