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Tyler Robinson charged in Kirk shooting?

Market icon

Tyler Robinson charged in Kirk shooting?

>99% chance
Polymarket

$193,424 Vol.

>99% chance
Polymarket

$193,424 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any state or federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Tyler Robinson in connection to the assassination of Charlie Kirk by October 12, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$193,424
End Date
Oct 12, 2025
Market Opened
Sep 12, 2025, 9:44 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any state or federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Tyler Robinson in connection to the assassination of Charlie Kirk by October 12, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any state or federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Tyler Robinson in connection to the assassination of Charlie Kirk by October 12, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$193,424
End Date
Oct 12, 2025
Market Opened
Sep 12, 2025, 9:44 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any state or federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Tyler Robinson in connection to the assassination of Charlie Kirk by October 12, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Tyler Robinson charged in Kirk shooting?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 100% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 100¢, the market collectively assigns a 100% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Tyler Robinson charged in Kirk shooting?" has generated $193.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Sep 12, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Tyler Robinson charged in Kirk shooting?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Tyler Robinson charged in Kirk shooting?" is 100% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 100% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Tyler Robinson charged in Kirk shooting?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.