Official National Electoral Council (CNE) figures confirm voter turnout at 60.19% for Honduras' November 30, 2025, general election, with 3.93 million votes cast out of 6.52 million registered voters, anchoring trader consensus at full certainty for the 60-61% bracket. This marks a decline from 2021's 69% amid high abstention despite absolute voter gains, influenced by a polarized race between Nasry Asfura (National Party), Salvador Nasralla (Liberal Party), and Rixi Moncada (LIBRE). Technical glitches, site crashes, and a manual recount of select ballots fueled brief disputes, but OAS observers found no systemic fraud, paving Asfura's declaration as president on December 24, 2025, and January 27 inauguration. Only a successful late-stage court challenge to CNE data could shift odds, though institutional finality and observer validation render this improbable.