Market icon

Trump fires campaign manager?

Market icon

Trump fires campaign manager?

1% chance
Polymarket

$312,850 Vol.

1% chance
Polymarket

$312,850 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is announced that Chris LaCivita or Susie Wiles is fired or otherwise removed from their position as Campaign manager in the Trump campaign. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If an announcement on the firing of either individual is not made by November 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Note that if either one is relegated to a lower position that isn't "Campaign manager", it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".

Note that an announcement before the end date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of when the departure takes effect. Voluntarily leaving or announcement of resignation also counts for this market to resolve to "Yes."

Confirmation should come from an official announcement made by the Trump Campaign, however a definitive consensus of credible media sources may be used.
Volume
$312,850
End Date
Nov 4, 2024
Market Opened
Aug 14, 2024, 1:41 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is announced that Chris LaCivita or Susie Wiles is fired or otherwise removed from their position as Campaign manager in the Trump campaign. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If an announcement on the firing of either individual is not made by November 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Note that if either one is relegated to a lower position that isn't "Campaign manager", it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes". Note that an announcement before the end date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of when the departure takes effect. Voluntarily leaving or announcement of resignation also counts for this market to resolve to "Yes." Confirmation should come from an official announcement made by the Trump Campaign, however a definitive consensus of credible media sources may be used.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is announced that Chris LaCivita or Susie Wiles is fired or otherwise removed from their position as Campaign manager in the Trump campaign. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If an announcement on the firing of either individual is not made by November 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Note that if either one is relegated to a lower position that isn't "Campaign manager", it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".

Note that an announcement before the end date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of when the departure takes effect. Voluntarily leaving or announcement of resignation also counts for this market to resolve to "Yes."

Confirmation should come from an official announcement made by the Trump Campaign, however a definitive consensus of credible media sources may be used.
Volume
$312,850
End Date
Nov 4, 2024
Market Opened
Aug 14, 2024, 1:41 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is announced that Chris LaCivita or Susie Wiles is fired or otherwise removed from their position as Campaign manager in the Trump campaign. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If an announcement on the firing of either individual is not made by November 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Note that if either one is relegated to a lower position that isn't "Campaign manager", it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes". Note that an announcement before the end date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of when the departure takes effect. Voluntarily leaving or announcement of resignation also counts for this market to resolve to "Yes." Confirmation should come from an official announcement made by the Trump Campaign, however a definitive consensus of credible media sources may be used.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Trump fires campaign manager? " is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 0% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 0¢, the market collectively assigns a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Trump fires campaign manager? " has generated $312.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 14, 2024. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Trump fires campaign manager? ," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Trump fires campaign manager? " is 0% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Trump fires campaign manager? " define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.