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Trump blames Biden for Iran-Israel escalation by Friday?

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Trump blames Biden for Iran-Israel escalation by Friday?

<1% chance
Polymarket

$56,941 Vol.

<1% chance
Polymarket

$56,941 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump publicly attributes the Iran-Israel escalation to Joe Biden between June 15, 2025 and June 20, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The statement must assert that Biden’s actions or inaction caused or contributed to the escalation. Statements which directly implicitly blame Biden without using his name (e.g. "If there had been another President in 2022, this would have never happened") will qualify.

Only public statements from Trump will count. Reports quoting others, anonymous sources, or indirect attributions will not be considered.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$56,941
End Date
Jun 20, 2025
Market Opened
Jun 15, 2025, 6:01 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump publicly attributes the Iran-Israel escalation to Joe Biden between June 15, 2025 and June 20, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The statement must assert that Biden’s actions or inaction caused or contributed to the escalation. Statements which directly implicitly blame Biden without using his name (e.g. "If there had been another President in 2022, this would have never happened") will qualify. Only public statements from Trump will count. Reports quoting others, anonymous sources, or indirect attributions will not be considered. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump publicly attributes the Iran-Israel escalation to Joe Biden between June 15, 2025 and June 20, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The statement must assert that Biden’s actions or inaction caused or contributed to the escalation. Statements which directly implicitly blame Biden without using his name (e.g. "If there had been another President in 2022, this would have never happened") will qualify.

Only public statements from Trump will count. Reports quoting others, anonymous sources, or indirect attributions will not be considered.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$56,941
End Date
Jun 20, 2025
Market Opened
Jun 15, 2025, 6:01 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump publicly attributes the Iran-Israel escalation to Joe Biden between June 15, 2025 and June 20, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The statement must assert that Biden’s actions or inaction caused or contributed to the escalation. Statements which directly implicitly blame Biden without using his name (e.g. "If there had been another President in 2022, this would have never happened") will qualify. Only public statements from Trump will count. Reports quoting others, anonymous sources, or indirect attributions will not be considered. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Trump blames Biden for Iran-Israel escalation by Friday?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 0% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 0¢, the market collectively assigns a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Trump blames Biden for Iran-Israel escalation by Friday?" has generated $56.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jun 15, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Trump blames Biden for Iran-Israel escalation by Friday?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Trump blames Biden for Iran-Israel escalation by Friday?" is 0% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Trump blames Biden for Iran-Israel escalation by Friday?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.