Trump approval rating on November 7?
$180,018 Vol.
<42.5 100.0%
42.5–42.9 <1%
43.0–43.4 <1%
43.5–43.9 <1%
OUTCOMERESULT
<42.5
$30,764 Vol.
Yes
<42.5
$30,764 Vol.
Yes
42.5–42.9
$26,667 Vol.
No
42.5–42.9
$26,667 Vol.
No
43.0–43.4
$15,196 Vol.
No
43.0–43.4
$15,196 Vol.
No
43.5–43.9
$17,216 Vol.
No
43.5–43.9
$17,216 Vol.
No
44.0–44.4
$78,954 Vol.
No
44.0–44.4
$78,954 Vol.
No
44.5+
$11,221 Vol.
No
44.5+
$11,221 Vol.
No
Rules
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on November 7, 2025.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market
Created At: Oct 31, 2025, 6:35 PM UTC
Volume
$180,018End Date
Nov 8, 2025Created At
Oct 31, 2025, 6:35 PM UTCResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
$180,018 Vol.
Trump approval rating on November 7?
<42.5 100.0%
42.5–42.9 <1%
43.0–43.4 <1%
43.5–43.9 <1%
<42.5
$30,764 Vol.
Yes
42.5–42.9
$26,667 Vol.
No
43.0–43.4
$15,196 Vol.
No
43.5–43.9
$17,216 Vol.
No
44.0–44.4
$78,954 Vol.
No
44.5+
$11,221 Vol.
No
About
Volume
$180,018End Date
Nov 8, 2025Created At
Oct 31, 2025, 6:35 PM UTCResolver
0x2F5e3684c...
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