Trump approval rating on December 19?
42.0–42.4 100.0%
<42.0 <1%
42.5–42.9 <1%
43.0–43.4 <1%
$127,037 Vol
$127,037 Vol
Dec 20, 2025
<42.0
$19,028 Vol.
No
<42.0
$19,028 Vol.
No
42.0–42.4
$26,401 Vol.
Yes
42.0–42.4
$26,401 Vol.
Yes
42.5–42.9
$31,018 Vol.
No
42.5–42.9
$31,018 Vol.
No
43.0–43.4
$17,945 Vol.
No
43.0–43.4
$17,945 Vol.
No
43.5–43.9
$17,146 Vol.
No
43.5–43.9
$17,146 Vol.
No
44.0+
$15,499 Vol.
No
44.0+
$15,499 Vol.
No
Rules
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on December 19, 2025.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Created At: Dec 11, 2025, 2:18 PM ET
Volume
$127,037End Date
Dec 20, 2025Created At
Dec 11, 2025, 2:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Trump approval rating on December 19?
42.0–42.4 100.0%
<42.0 <1%
42.5–42.9 <1%
43.0–43.4 <1%
$127,037 Vol
$127,037 Vol
Dec 20, 2025
<42.0
$19,028 Vol.
No
42.0–42.4
$26,401 Vol.
Yes
42.5–42.9
$31,018 Vol.
No
43.0–43.4
$17,945 Vol.
No
43.5–43.9
$17,146 Vol.
No
44.0+
$15,499 Vol.
No
About
Volume
$127,037End Date
Dec 20, 2025Created At
Dec 11, 2025, 2:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.