$518,658 Vol.
Mar 6, 2025
March 6
Yes
March 5
No
March 3
No
Chopsticks catch Super Heavy?
Yes
Reaches space?
Yes
Super Heavy explodes?
No
Super Heavy survives re-entry?
Yes
Trump attends launch?
No
Successful splash down?
No
Launch before March 15?
Yes
Launch before March?
No
Launch before April?
Yes
$518,658 Vol.
March 6
$36,782 Vol.
Yes
March 5
$32,572 Vol.
No
March 3
$29,191 Vol.
No
Chopsticks catch Super Heavy?
$118,751 Vol.
Yes
Reaches space?
$17,757 Vol.
Yes
Super Heavy explodes?
$42,048 Vol.
No
Super Heavy survives re-entry?
$18,612 Vol.
Yes
Trump attends launch?
$22,798 Vol.
No
Successful splash down?
$28,717 Vol.
No
Launch before March 15?
$33,283 Vol.
Yes
Launch before March?
$104,906 Vol.
No
Launch before April?
$33,242 Vol.
Yes
If the 8th SpaceX Starship successfully launches from its launchpad by March 6, 2025 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Any subsequent anomaly (e.g. an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Starship with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.If the 8th SpaceX Starship successfully launches from its launchpad by March 6, 2025 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Any subsequent anomaly (e.g. an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Starship with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.
The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Any subsequent anomaly (e.g. an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Starship with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.
Market Opened: Jan 17, 2025, 1:03 PM ET
Volume
$518,658End Date
Feb 24, 2025Market Opened
Jan 17, 2025, 1:03 PM ETResolver
0x6A9D22261...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes

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