September 2024 Temperature Increase (ºC)
1.23-1.28 99.8%
<1.17 <1%
1.17-1.22 <1%
1.29-1.34 <1%
$2,454,267 Vol.
$2,454,267 Vol.
Jan 1, 2025
<1.17
$582,248 Vol.
No
<1.17
$582,248 Vol.
No
1.17-1.22
$482,828 Vol.
No
1.17-1.22
$482,828 Vol.
No
1.23-1.28
$170,614 Vol.
Yes
1.23-1.28
$170,614 Vol.
Yes
1.29-1.34
$225,614 Vol.
No
1.29-1.34
$225,614 Vol.
No
1.35-1.40
$382,755 Vol.
No
1.35-1.40
$382,755 Vol.
No
>1.40
$610,208 Vol.
No
>1.40
$610,208 Vol.
No
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for September 2024 shows an increase of less than 1.17°C when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An anomaly of less than 1.17°C for September 2024 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" immediately once the data becomes available regardless of whether the figure for September 2024 is later revised.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Sep" in the row "2024" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for September 2024 is provided by NASA by January 1, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Yes".This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for September 2024 shows an increase of less than 1.17°C when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An anomaly of less than 1.17°C for September 2024 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" immediately once the data becomes available regardless of whether the figure for September 2024 is later revised.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Sep" in the row "2024" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for September 2024 is provided by NASA by January 1, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Yes".
An anomaly of less than 1.17°C for September 2024 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" immediately once the data becomes available regardless of whether the figure for September 2024 is later revised.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Sep" in the row "2024" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for September 2024 is provided by NASA by January 1, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Yes".
Created At: Sep 10, 2024, 1:11 PM ET
Volume
$2,454,267End Date
Oct 15, 2024Created At
Sep 10, 2024, 1:11 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Outcome proposed: No
Disputed
Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
September 2024 Temperature Increase (ºC)
1.23-1.28 99.8%
<1.17 <1%
1.17-1.22 <1%
1.29-1.34 <1%
$2,454,267 Vol.
$2,454,267 Vol.
Jan 1, 2025
<1.17
$582,248 Vol.
No
1.17-1.22
$482,828 Vol.
No
1.23-1.28
$170,614 Vol.
Yes
1.29-1.34
$225,614 Vol.
No
1.35-1.40
$382,755 Vol.
No
>1.40
$610,208 Vol.
No
About
Volume
$2,454,267End Date
Oct 15, 2024Created At
Sep 10, 2024, 1:11 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...
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