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Respiratory illness surge in China declared a global pandemic by Feb 1?

Market icon

Respiratory illness surge in China declared a global pandemic by Feb 1?

0% chance
Polymarket

$14,394 Vol.

0% chance
Polymarket

$14,394 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, by February 1, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, the surge in respiratory illnesses in China leads to a new global pandemic as declared by the World Health Organization.

If no new global pandemic is declared by the given date which was caused by Chinese respiratory illnesses, the market will resolve to "No."
Volume
$14,394
End Date
Feb 1, 2024
Market Opened
Nov 25, 2023, 2:09 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, by February 1, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, the surge in respiratory illnesses in China leads to a new global pandemic as declared by the World Health Organization. If no new global pandemic is declared by the given date which was caused by Chinese respiratory illnesses, the market will resolve to "No."

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, by February 1, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, the surge in respiratory illnesses in China leads to a new global pandemic as declared by the World Health Organization.

If no new global pandemic is declared by the given date which was caused by Chinese respiratory illnesses, the market will resolve to "No."
Volume
$14,394
End Date
Feb 1, 2024
Market Opened
Nov 25, 2023, 2:09 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, by February 1, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, the surge in respiratory illnesses in China leads to a new global pandemic as declared by the World Health Organization. If no new global pandemic is declared by the given date which was caused by Chinese respiratory illnesses, the market will resolve to "No."

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Respiratory illness surge in China declared a global pandemic by Feb 1?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 0% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 0¢, the market collectively assigns a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Respiratory illness surge in China declared a global pandemic by Feb 1?" has generated $14.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 25, 2023. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Respiratory illness surge in China declared a global pandemic by Feb 1?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Respiratory illness surge in China declared a global pandemic by Feb 1?" is 0% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Respiratory illness surge in China declared a global pandemic by Feb 1?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.