Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a March average retail price for a dozen Grade A eggs in the $2.25–2.75 range (76.5% implied probability), with $2.25–2.50 leading at 45.5%, signaling expectations of price moderation from current USDA-tracked levels near $3.50 per BLS September data. Primary drivers include flock rebuilding after 2022–2024 HPAI outbreaks that culled over 100 million birds, boosting projected supply per USDA forecasts, alongside stabilizing corn and soybean feed costs. Recent developments, like California's October 2024 depopulation of 1.2 million birds—the largest single outbreak—pose upside risks, but traders discount sustained pressure, betting on normalization amid historical post-flu recoveries and steady consumer demand.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedPrice of Dozen Eggs in March?
Price of Dozen Eggs in March?
$2.25–2.50 45%
$2.50–2.75 32%
$2.75–3.00 12.4%
$2.00–2.25 8%
$137,094 Vol.
$137,094 Vol.
<$2.00
2%
$2.00–2.25
8%
$2.25–2.50
45%
$2.50–2.75
32%
$2.75–3.00
12%
$3.00–3.25
1%
$3.25–3.50
1%
$3.50–3.75
<1%
$3.75–4.00
2%
≥$4.00
<1%
$2.25–2.50 45%
$2.50–2.75 32%
$2.75–3.00 12.4%
$2.00–2.25 8%
$137,094 Vol.
$137,094 Vol.
<$2.00
2%
$2.00–2.25
8%
$2.25–2.50
45%
$2.50–2.75
32%
$2.75–3.00
12%
$3.00–3.25
1%
$3.25–3.50
1%
$3.50–3.75
<1%
$3.75–4.00
2%
≥$4.00
<1%
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for egg prices on the BLS's CPI release. The March release is presently scheduled for April 10, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon the update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Market Opened: Mar 11, 2026, 1:25 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a March average retail price for a dozen Grade A eggs in the $2.25–2.75 range (76.5% implied probability), with $2.25–2.50 leading at 45.5%, signaling expectations of price moderation from current USDA-tracked levels near $3.50 per BLS September data. Primary drivers include flock rebuilding after 2022–2024 HPAI outbreaks that culled over 100 million birds, boosting projected supply per USDA forecasts, alongside stabilizing corn and soybean feed costs. Recent developments, like California's October 2024 depopulation of 1.2 million birds—the largest single outbreak—pose upside risks, but traders discount sustained pressure, betting on normalization amid historical post-flu recoveries and steady consumer demand.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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