Portugal Presidential Election

Name: Portugal Presidential Election
Start: 2025-08-29T19:18:28.935224Z
End: 2026-02-08T14:00:00Z

António José Seguro (IND) 98.0%

André Ventura (CH) 1.8%

Henrique Gouveia e Melo (IND) <1%

João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL) <1%

$124,040,327 Vol.

António José Seguro (IND)
$3,615,831 Vol.
98%

André Ventura (CH)
$12,231,203 Vol.
2%

Henrique Gouveia e Melo (IND)
$2,895,430 Vol.
<1%

João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL)
$3,729,271 Vol.
<1%

Rui Moreira (IND)
$3,992,437 Vol.
<1%

Paulo Portas (CDS)
$3,784,458 Vol.
<1%

Catarina Martins (BE)
$3,216,474 Vol.
<1%

Tim Vieira (IND)
$337,860 Vol.
<1%

Joana Amaral Dias (ADN)
$5,991,603 Vol.
<1%

André Pestana (IND)
$1,871,740 Vol.
<1%

Orlando Cruz (IND)
$771,209 Vol.
<1%

Aristides Teixeira (IND)
$9,106,451 Vol.
<1%

Manuela Magno (IND)
$3,475,165 Vol.
<1%

Luís Marques Mendes (PSD)
$4,082,791 Vol.
<1%

Pedro Tinoco de Faria (IND)
$8,690,805 Vol.
<1%

Vitorino Silva (IND)
$4,131,416 Vol.
<1%

Ângela Maryah (IND)
$7,068,336 Vol.
<1%

António Filipe (PCP)
$7,183,926 Vol.
<1%

Raul Perestrello (IND)
$18,893,237 Vol.
<1%

José Cardoso (PLS)
$8,447,348 Vol.
<1%

Pedro Passos Coelho (PSD)
$4,089,474 Vol.
<1%

Jorge Pinto
$6,433,861 Vol.
<1%

Rules

Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Portugal on 18 or 25 January 2026, with a possible second round on 8 or 15 February 2026. A second round will be held if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.

This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Portuguese government, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (https://www.cne.pt/).

Created At: Aug 29, 2025, 3:00 PM ET

Volume

$124,040,327

End Date

Feb 8, 2026

Created At

Aug 29, 2025, 3:00 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

Beware of external links.

Portugal Presidential Election

António José Seguro (IND) 98.0%

André Ventura (CH) 1.8%

Henrique Gouveia e Melo (IND) <1%

João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL) <1%

$124,040,327 Vol.

António José Seguro (IND)

$3,615,831 Vol.

98%

André Ventura (CH)

$12,231,203 Vol.

Henrique Gouveia e Melo (IND)

$2,895,430 Vol.

<1%

João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL)

$3,729,271 Vol.

<1%

Rui Moreira (IND)

$3,992,437 Vol.

<1%

Paulo Portas (CDS)

$3,784,458 Vol.

<1%

Catarina Martins (BE)

$3,216,474 Vol.

<1%

Tim Vieira (IND)

$337,860 Vol.

<1%

Joana Amaral Dias (ADN)

$5,991,603 Vol.

<1%

André Pestana (IND)

$1,871,740 Vol.

<1%

Orlando Cruz (IND)

$771,209 Vol.

<1%

Aristides Teixeira (IND)

$9,106,451 Vol.

<1%

Manuela Magno (IND)

$3,475,165 Vol.

<1%

Luís Marques Mendes (PSD)

$4,082,791 Vol.

<1%

Pedro Tinoco de Faria (IND)

$8,690,805 Vol.

<1%

Vitorino Silva (IND)

$4,131,416 Vol.

<1%

Ângela Maryah (IND)

$7,068,336 Vol.

<1%

António Filipe (PCP)

$7,183,926 Vol.

<1%

Raul Perestrello (IND)

$18,893,237 Vol.

<1%

José Cardoso (PLS)

$8,447,348 Vol.

<1%

Pedro Passos Coelho (PSD)

$4,089,474 Vol.

<1%

Jorge Pinto

$6,433,861 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume

$124,040,327

End Date

Feb 8, 2026

Created At

Aug 29, 2025, 3:00 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

Will António José Seguro win the second round by 30–40%?

42%

Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be between 46% and 48%?

25%

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

54%

Beware of external links.

Portugal Presidential Election