Emilia Sykes holds a commanding lead in the Ohio 13th congressional district race because the district, encompassing the Akron-Canton corridor and centered on Summit County, carries a Democratic lean reinforced by the most recent redistricting. As the Democratic incumbent first elected in 2022 and re-elected narrowly in 2024, Sykes benefits from strong name recognition, substantial fundraising exceeding $2.5 million with significant cash reserves, and an unopposed primary. Her Republican opponent, Carey Coleman, a former radio host and meteorologist with no prior elected experience, secured his nomination but has raised under $75,000 and faces structural disadvantages in a district rated Likely or Solid Democratic by major forecasters. Trader consensus reflected in the market prices incorporates these fundamentals along with the absence of major polling shifts or late-cycle developments that would narrow the gap. A national political wave, unforeseen personal or campaign event affecting Sykes, or an unusually effective Republican turnout effort could still alter the outcome before November 3.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$21,306 Vol.
$21,306 Vol.
Emilia Sykes (D)
95%
Carey Coleman (R)
3%
$21,306 Vol.
$21,306 Vol.
Emilia Sykes (D)
95%
Carey Coleman (R)
3%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Emilia Sykes holds a commanding lead in the Ohio 13th congressional district race because the district, encompassing the Akron-Canton corridor and centered on Summit County, carries a Democratic lean reinforced by the most recent redistricting. As the Democratic incumbent first elected in 2022 and re-elected narrowly in 2024, Sykes benefits from strong name recognition, substantial fundraising exceeding $2.5 million with significant cash reserves, and an unopposed primary. Her Republican opponent, Carey Coleman, a former radio host and meteorologist with no prior elected experience, secured his nomination but has raised under $75,000 and faces structural disadvantages in a district rated Likely or Solid Democratic by major forecasters. Trader consensus reflected in the market prices incorporates these fundamentals along with the absence of major polling shifts or late-cycle developments that would narrow the gap. A national political wave, unforeseen personal or campaign event affecting Sykes, or an unusually effective Republican turnout effort could still alter the outcome before November 3.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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