Emilia Sykes holds a commanding lead in the Ohio 13th congressional district race due to her status as the Democratic incumbent in a D+2 district, bolstered by redistricting that added favorable areas like Kent and prompted a stronger Republican challenger from 2024 to withdraw. She ran unopposed in the May primary, maintains a substantial fundraising edge with millions raised and over $1.6 million cash on hand, and benefits from endorsements including labor unions. Forecasters rate the seat Likely Democratic. Carey Coleman, the Republican nominee who prevailed in a fragmented May primary, has limited resources and no prior elected experience. The general election occurs November 3. Late developments such as major scandals, significant shifts in national midterm dynamics, or unusually high turnout in Republican-leaning pockets of Summit, Stark, or Portage counties could narrow the gap, though the current resource and structural disparities limit realistic pathways for an upset.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$21,306 Vol.
$21,306 Vol.
Emilia Sykes (D)
96%
Carey Coleman (R)
4%
$21,306 Vol.
$21,306 Vol.
Emilia Sykes (D)
96%
Carey Coleman (R)
4%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x2f5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2f5e3684c...Emilia Sykes holds a commanding lead in the Ohio 13th congressional district race due to her status as the Democratic incumbent in a D+2 district, bolstered by redistricting that added favorable areas like Kent and prompted a stronger Republican challenger from 2024 to withdraw. She ran unopposed in the May primary, maintains a substantial fundraising edge with millions raised and over $1.6 million cash on hand, and benefits from endorsements including labor unions. Forecasters rate the seat Likely Democratic. Carey Coleman, the Republican nominee who prevailed in a fragmented May primary, has limited resources and no prior elected experience. The general election occurs November 3. Late developments such as major scandals, significant shifts in national midterm dynamics, or unusually high turnout in Republican-leaning pockets of Summit, Stark, or Portage counties could narrow the gap, though the current resource and structural disparities limit realistic pathways for an upset.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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