Emilia Sykes holds a commanding position in the OH-13 race due to her incumbency since 2023, a post-2025 redistricting that shifted the district to a modest Democratic lean based on recent presidential results, and overwhelming fundraising dominance exceeding $2.5 million compared to her opponent’s limited resources. Carey Coleman emerged from a fragmented Republican primary but faces structural disadvantages in a district encompassing Summit County and parts of Stark and Portage. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat as likely or solidly Democratic. Late developments such as a significant national political shift, candidate health events, or unusually high Republican turnout could still alter the outcome before the November general election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$21,306 Vol.
$21,306 Vol.
Emilia Sykes (D)
96%
Carey Coleman (R)
3%
$21,306 Vol.
$21,306 Vol.
Emilia Sykes (D)
96%
Carey Coleman (R)
3%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Emilia Sykes holds a commanding position in the OH-13 race due to her incumbency since 2023, a post-2025 redistricting that shifted the district to a modest Democratic lean based on recent presidential results, and overwhelming fundraising dominance exceeding $2.5 million compared to her opponent’s limited resources. Carey Coleman emerged from a fragmented Republican primary but faces structural disadvantages in a district encompassing Summit County and parts of Stark and Portage. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat as likely or solidly Democratic. Late developments such as a significant national political shift, candidate health events, or unusually high Republican turnout could still alter the outcome before the November general election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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