Incumbent Democrat Emilia Sykes maintains a strong lead in Ohio's 13th Congressional District race per recent polls, such as the October Emerson survey showing her at 51% to Republican challenger Brian Kazy's 42%, fueling trader consensus at 77% for the Democratic Party. Sykes benefits from a significant fundraising edge—over $3 million raised versus Kazy's under $400,000—and incumbency advantages in a district she narrowly won in 2022 after redistricting shifted it leftward. A recent debate on October 15 highlighted her policy experience on manufacturing and healthcare, boosting momentum amid early voting now underway, with the November 5 general election approaching. Markets reflect this polling edge and historical House re-election rates above 90%, though national GOP turnout could narrow the gap.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedOH-13 House Election Winner
OH-13 House Election Winner
NEW
NEW
Nov 4, 2026
Republican Party
17%
Democratic Party
61%
NEW
NEW
Nov 4, 2026
Republican Party
$0 Vol.
17%
Democratic Party
$0 Vol.
61%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Emilia Sykes maintains a strong lead in Ohio's 13th Congressional District race per recent polls, such as the October Emerson survey showing her at 51% to Republican challenger Brian Kazy's 42%, fueling trader consensus at 77% for the Democratic Party. Sykes benefits from a significant fundraising edge—over $3 million raised versus Kazy's under $400,000—and incumbency advantages in a district she narrowly won in 2022 after redistricting shifted it leftward. A recent debate on October 15 highlighted her policy experience on manufacturing and healthcare, boosting momentum amid early voting now underway, with the November 5 general election approaching. Markets reflect this polling edge and historical House re-election rates above 90%, though national GOP turnout could narrow the gap.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Emilia Sykes maintains a strong lead in Ohio's 13th Congressional District race per recent polls, such as the October Emerson survey showing her at 51% to Republican challenger Brian Kazy's 42%, fueling trader consensus at 77% for the Democratic Party. Sykes benefits from a significant fundraising edge—over $3 million raised versus Kazy's under $400,000—and incumbency advantages in a district she narrowly won in 2022 after redistricting shifted it leftward. A recent debate on October 15 highlighted her policy experience on manufacturing and healthcare, boosting momentum amid early voting now underway, with the November 5 general election approaching. Markets reflect this polling edge and historical House re-election rates above 90%, though national GOP turnout could narrow the gap.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$0End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Emilia Sykes maintains a strong lead in Ohio's 13th Congressional District race per recent polls, such as the October Emerson survey showing her at 51% to Republican challenger Brian Kazy's 42%, fueling trader consensus at 77% for the Democratic Party. Sykes benefits from a significant fundraising edge—over $3 million raised versus Kazy's under $400,000—and incumbency advantages in a district she narrowly won in 2022 after redistricting shifted it leftward. A recent debate on October 15 highlighted her policy experience on manufacturing and healthcare, boosting momentum amid early voting now underway, with the November 5 general election approaching. Markets reflect this polling edge and historical House re-election rates above 90%, though national GOP turnout could narrow the gap.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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