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# of seats NDP win in Canadian Election? (Lower Brackets)

Market icon

# of seats NDP win in Canadian Election? (Lower Brackets)

7–8 100.0%

≤2 <1%

3–4 <1%

5–6 <1%

Polymarket

$115,979 Vol.

7–8 100.0%

≤2 <1%

3–4 <1%

5–6 <1%

Polymarket

$115,979 Vol.

≤2

$84,771 Vol.

No

3–4

$6,947 Vol.

No

5–6

$2,002 Vol.

No

7–8

$2,856 Vol.

Yes

9+

$19,404 Vol.

No

The 2025 Canadian federal election will be held on April 28 to elect members of the House of Commons to the 45th Canadian Parliament.

This market will resolve according to the number of seats the New Democratic Party (NDP) wins in the House of Commons as a result of the next Canadian general election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the results of this election aren't known by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by this party, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Canadian government, specifically Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx).
Volume
$115,979
End Date
Apr 28, 2025
Market Opened
Apr 11, 2025, 6:12 PM ET
The 2025 Canadian federal election will be held on April 28 to elect members of the House of Commons to the 45th Canadian Parliament. This market will resolve according to the number of seats the New Democratic Party (NDP) wins in the House of Commons as a result of the next Canadian general election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the results of this election aren't known by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by this party, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Canadian government, specifically Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx).

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Related

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"# of seats NDP win in Canadian Election? (Lower Brackets)" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "7–8" at 100%, followed by "≤2" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "# of seats NDP win in Canadian Election? (Lower Brackets)" has generated $116K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 11, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "# of seats NDP win in Canadian Election? (Lower Brackets)," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "# of seats NDP win in Canadian Election? (Lower Brackets)" is "7–8" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "≤2" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "# of seats NDP win in Canadian Election? (Lower Brackets)" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.