Market icon

Nicolás Maduro seen in public by January 5?

Market icon

Nicolás Maduro seen in public by January 5?

>99% chance
Polymarket

$1,588,800 Vol.

>99% chance
Polymarket

$1,588,800 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic, not the result of artificial intelligence or video editing.

Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market.

The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Nicolás Maduro, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.
Volume
$1,588,800
End Date
Jan 5, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 3, 2026, 8:52 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic, not the result of artificial intelligence or video editing. Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market. The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Nicolás Maduro, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic, not the result of artificial intelligence or video editing.

Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market.

The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Nicolás Maduro, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.
Volume
$1,588,800
End Date
Jan 5, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 3, 2026, 8:52 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic, not the result of artificial intelligence or video editing. Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market. The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Nicolás Maduro, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Nicolás Maduro seen in public by January 5?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 100% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 100¢, the market collectively assigns a 100% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Nicolás Maduro seen in public by January 5?" has generated $1.6 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 3, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Nicolás Maduro seen in public by January 5?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Nicolás Maduro seen in public by January 5?" is 100% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 100% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Nicolás Maduro seen in public by January 5?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.