Valerie Foushee holds a commanding lead in trader pricing for the North Carolina 4th congressional district because the area maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in partisan voting indexes exceeding D+20 and consistent "Solid D" or "Safe D" ratings from major forecasters. As the incumbent who advanced from a narrow March 2026 Democratic primary, Foushee benefits from established name recognition and institutional support in Durham and Orange counties. Her Republican opponent, Max Ganorkar, advanced unopposed but has recorded minimal fundraising and lacks competitive infrastructure. With the general election set for November 3, 2026, the market consensus aligns with historical patterns in this district, where Democratic nominees have prevailed by wide margins. A late scandal, health event, or dramatic national political shift could theoretically alter the outcome, though no such developments have emerged in recent weeks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNC-04 House Election Winner
NC-04 House Election Winner
$46,850 Vol.
$46,850 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Valerie Foushee (D)
97%
Max Ganorkar (R)
3%
$46,850 Vol.
$46,850 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Valerie Foushee (D)
$15,586 Vol.
97%
Max Ganorkar (R)
$31,264 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Valerie Foushee holds a commanding lead in trader pricing for the North Carolina 4th congressional district because the area maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in partisan voting indexes exceeding D+20 and consistent "Solid D" or "Safe D" ratings from major forecasters. As the incumbent who advanced from a narrow March 2026 Democratic primary, Foushee benefits from established name recognition and institutional support in Durham and Orange counties. Her Republican opponent, Max Ganorkar, advanced unopposed but has recorded minimal fundraising and lacks competitive infrastructure. With the general election set for November 3, 2026, the market consensus aligns with historical patterns in this district, where Democratic nominees have prevailed by wide margins. A late scandal, health event, or dramatic national political shift could theoretically alter the outcome, though no such developments have emerged in recent weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volume
$46,850End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2f5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Valerie Foushee holds a commanding lead in trader pricing for the North Carolina 4th congressional district because the area maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in partisan voting indexes exceeding D+20 and consistent "Solid D" or "Safe D" ratings from major forecasters. As the incumbent who advanced from a narrow March 2026 Democratic primary, Foushee benefits from established name recognition and institutional support in Durham and Orange counties. Her Republican opponent, Max Ganorkar, advanced unopposed but has recorded minimal fundraising and lacks competitive infrastructure. With the general election set for November 3, 2026, the market consensus aligns with historical patterns in this district, where Democratic nominees have prevailed by wide margins. A late scandal, health event, or dramatic national political shift could theoretically alter the outcome, though no such developments have emerged in recent weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$46,850End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2f5e3684c...Valerie Foushee holds a commanding lead in trader pricing for the North Carolina 4th congressional district because the area maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in partisan voting indexes exceeding D+20 and consistent "Solid D" or "Safe D" ratings from major forecasters. As the incumbent who advanced from a narrow March 2026 Democratic primary, Foushee benefits from established name recognition and institutional support in Durham and Orange counties. Her Republican opponent, Max Ganorkar, advanced unopposed but has recorded minimal fundraising and lacks competitive infrastructure. With the general election set for November 3, 2026, the market consensus aligns with historical patterns in this district, where Democratic nominees have prevailed by wide margins. A late scandal, health event, or dramatic national political shift could theoretically alter the outcome, though no such developments have emerged in recent weeks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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