Maryland's 3rd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+12 and consistent ratings as a Solid or Safe Democratic seat by major forecasters. Incumbent Sarah Elfreth benefits from this structural advantage, with primary contests underway ahead of the November general election and minimal Republican opposition emerging to date. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Democrats aligns with these factors, including the district's voting history in recent presidential cycles and limited path for challengers in a non-battleground environment. A shift would require substantial developments such as an unexpected primary upset or late-cycle national realignment altering turnout patterns.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoMD-03 House Election Winner
MD-03 House Election Winner
$24,366 Vol.
$24,366 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
6%
$24,366 Vol.
$24,366 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Democratic Party
$17,544 Vol.
95%
Republican Party
$6,822 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland's 3rd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+12 and consistent ratings as a Solid or Safe Democratic seat by major forecasters. Incumbent Sarah Elfreth benefits from this structural advantage, with primary contests underway ahead of the November general election and minimal Republican opposition emerging to date. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Democrats aligns with these factors, including the district's voting history in recent presidential cycles and limited path for challengers in a non-battleground environment. A shift would require substantial developments such as an unexpected primary upset or late-cycle national realignment altering turnout patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$24,366Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland's 3rd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+12 and consistent ratings as a Solid or Safe Democratic seat by major forecasters. Incumbent Sarah Elfreth benefits from this structural advantage, with primary contests underway ahead of the November general election and minimal Republican opposition emerging to date. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Democrats aligns with these factors, including the district's voting history in recent presidential cycles and limited path for challengers in a non-battleground environment. A shift would require substantial developments such as an unexpected primary upset or late-cycle national realignment altering turnout patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$24,366Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Maryland's 3rd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+12 and consistent ratings as a Solid or Safe Democratic seat by major forecasters. Incumbent Sarah Elfreth benefits from this structural advantage, with primary contests underway ahead of the November general election and minimal Republican opposition emerging to date. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Democrats aligns with these factors, including the district's voting history in recent presidential cycles and limited path for challengers in a non-battleground environment. A shift would require substantial developments such as an unexpected primary upset or late-cycle national realignment altering turnout patterns.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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