President Lee Jae-myung's Democratic Party holds a majority in South Korea's National Assembly, making an impeachment motion highly unlikely to pass, as demonstrated by their prior success in removing Yoon Suk Yeol in 2025. Trader consensus at 93% "No" reflects this structural barrier, reinforced by the absence of recent legislative action despite opposition accusations in mid-March 2026 over alleged pressure to drop charges against aides and interference in the Daejang-dong scandal probes. No impeachment proceedings have advanced, with Lee's administration focused on policy priorities like tax reforms amid stable approval ratings, leaving little catalyst for a shift before the 2027 deadline.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedLee Jae-myung impeached before 2027?
Lee Jae-myung impeached before 2027?
NEW
NEW
Dec 31, 2026
NEW
NEW
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.President Lee Jae-myung's Democratic Party holds a majority in South Korea's National Assembly, making an impeachment motion highly unlikely to pass, as demonstrated by their prior success in removing Yoon Suk Yeol in 2025. Trader consensus at 93% "No" reflects this structural barrier, reinforced by the absence of recent legislative action despite opposition accusations in mid-March 2026 over alleged pressure to drop charges against aides and interference in the Daejang-dong scandal probes. No impeachment proceedings have advanced, with Lee's administration focused on policy priorities like tax reforms amid stable approval ratings, leaving little catalyst for a shift before the 2027 deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Market Opened: Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ET
Volume
$4,338End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.President Lee Jae-myung's Democratic Party holds a majority in South Korea's National Assembly, making an impeachment motion highly unlikely to pass, as demonstrated by their prior success in removing Yoon Suk Yeol in 2025. Trader consensus at 93% "No" reflects this structural barrier, reinforced by the absence of recent legislative action despite opposition accusations in mid-March 2026 over alleged pressure to drop charges against aides and interference in the Daejang-dong scandal probes. No impeachment proceedings have advanced, with Lee's administration focused on policy priorities like tax reforms amid stable approval ratings, leaving little catalyst for a shift before the 2027 deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Volume
$4,338End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Lee Jae-myung's Democratic Party holds a majority in South Korea's National Assembly, making an impeachment motion highly unlikely to pass, as demonstrated by their prior success in removing Yoon Suk Yeol in 2025. Trader consensus at 93% "No" reflects this structural barrier, reinforced by the absence of recent legislative action despite opposition accusations in mid-March 2026 over alleged pressure to drop charges against aides and interference in the Daejang-dong scandal probes. No impeachment proceedings have advanced, with Lee's administration focused on policy priorities like tax reforms amid stable approval ratings, leaving little catalyst for a shift before the 2027 deadline.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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