Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a balanced view on USD/KRW reaching key thresholds in 2026, primarily driven by persistent US-Fed rate advantage over the Bank of Korea's accommodative stance amid South Korea's political turmoil and slowing exports. Spot USD/KRW lingers near 1,380 following the Yoon impeachment crisis that spiked it to 1,445 in December 2024, with BOK holding at 3.00% versus Fed funds at 4.25-4.50%. Forecasts from JPMorgan and ING project 1,300-1,450 range by 2026, hinging on US tariffs strengthening the dollar and SK's chip sector rebound. Critical catalysts include February 2025 BOK decision and US Q1 GDP, with resolution tied to daily closes above the strike.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated$73,076 Vol.
↑2000
8%
↑1800
12%
↑1700
19%
↑1650
22%
↑1600
22%
↑1550
70%
↓1400
56%
↓1350
66%
↓1300
46%
↓1200
36%
↓1100
37%
↓1000
37%
$73,076 Vol.
↑2000
8%
↑1800
12%
↑1700
19%
↑1650
22%
↑1600
22%
↑1550
70%
↓1400
56%
↓1350
66%
↓1300
46%
↓1200
36%
↓1100
37%
↓1000
37%
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized USD/KRW hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the USD/KRW Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (https://www.investing.com/currencies/usd-krw-chart).
Market Opened: Feb 6, 2026, 4:39 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a balanced view on USD/KRW reaching key thresholds in 2026, primarily driven by persistent US-Fed rate advantage over the Bank of Korea's accommodative stance amid South Korea's political turmoil and slowing exports. Spot USD/KRW lingers near 1,380 following the Yoon impeachment crisis that spiked it to 1,445 in December 2024, with BOK holding at 3.00% versus Fed funds at 4.25-4.50%. Forecasts from JPMorgan and ING project 1,300-1,450 range by 2026, hinging on US tariffs strengthening the dollar and SK's chip sector rebound. Critical catalysts include February 2025 BOK decision and US Q1 GDP, with resolution tied to daily closes above the strike.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated



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