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Japan prime minister Ishiba out by September 30?

99% chance

$205,886 Vol.

Rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Shigeru Ishiba ceases to be the Prime Minister of Japan for any period of time between July 23 and September 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Shigeru Ishiba's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be the government of Japan, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Volume
$205,886
End Date
Sep 30, 2025
Created At
Jul 23, 2025, 11:22 AM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Shigeru Ishiba ceases to be the Prime Minister of Japan for any period of time between July 23 and September 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Shigeru Ishiba's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of Japan, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

Beware of external links.

Market icon

Japan prime minister Ishiba out by September 30?

99% chance

$205,886 Vol.

About

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Shigeru Ishiba ceases to be the Prime Minister of Japan for any period of time between July 23 and September 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Shigeru Ishiba's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be the government of Japan, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Volume
$205,886
End Date
Sep 30, 2025
Created At
Jul 23, 2025, 11:22 AM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Shigeru Ishiba ceases to be the Prime Minister of Japan for any period of time between July 23 and September 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Shigeru Ishiba's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of Japan, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

Beware of external links.