Israel strikes Gaza by...?
$870,732 Vol.
Oct 17, 2025
October 17
$615,175 Vol.
Yes
October 17
$615,175 Vol.
Yes
October 31
$255,557 Vol.
Yes
October 31
$255,557 Vol.
Yes
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Gaza soil between October 10, 11:30 AM ET, and October 17, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Gaza ground territory.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip counts, including buffer zones.
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Gaza territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Gaza soil between October 10, 11:30 AM ET, and October 17, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Gaza ground territory.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip counts, including buffer zones.
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Gaza territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Gaza ground territory.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip counts, including buffer zones.
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Gaza territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Created At: Oct 10, 2025, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$870,732End Date
Oct 31, 2025Created At
Oct 10, 2025, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
Israel strikes Gaza by...?
$870,732 Vol.
October 17
$615,175 Vol.
Yes
October 31
$255,557 Vol.
Yes
About
Volume
$870,732End Date
Oct 31, 2025Created At
Oct 10, 2025, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.




Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.