Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 64% implied probability for a SpaceX initial public offering in June, driven by the company's confidential SEC filing on April 1, 2026, which positions it for a mid-year listing at a potential $1.75 trillion valuation—the largest in history. This surge in June odds follows weeks of mounting speculation, including March 25 reports of an imminent filing that rallied space sector stocks, amid Starlink's revenue growth and merger talks with xAI boosting fundamental appeal. July at 10% reflects potential SEC review delays, while May's 8.7% accounts for accelerated timelines; key catalysts include the public S-1 prospectus release and roadshow scheduling in coming weeks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedJune 64%
July 12.7%
May 8.8%
No IPO before 2027 6.6%
$162,346 Vol.
$162,346 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
April
1%
May
9%
June
64%
July
10%
August
5%
September
4%
October
1%
November
1%
December
1%
No IPO before 2027
7%
June 64%
July 12.7%
May 8.8%
No IPO before 2027 6.6%
$162,346 Vol.
$162,346 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
April
$20,809 Vol.
1%
May
$10,352 Vol.
9%
June
$63,950 Vol.
64%
July
$1,662 Vol.
10%
August
$1,553 Vol.
5%
September
$2,479 Vol.
4%
October
$2,217 Vol.
1%
November
$1,334 Vol.
1%
December
$1,440 Vol.
1%
No IPO before 2027
$3,469 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve based on the calendar month (ET) in 2026 in which SpaceX’s initial public offering (IPO) occurs.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 64% implied probability for a SpaceX initial public offering in June, driven by the company's confidential SEC filing on April 1, 2026, which positions it for a mid-year listing at a potential $1.75 trillion valuation—the largest in history. This surge in June odds follows weeks of mounting speculation, including March 25 reports of an imminent filing that rallied space sector stocks, amid Starlink's revenue growth and merger talks with xAI boosting fundamental appeal. July at 10% reflects potential SEC review delays, while May's 8.7% accounts for accelerated timelines; key catalysts include the public S-1 prospectus release and roadshow scheduling in coming weeks.
This market will resolve based on the calendar month (ET) in 2026 in which SpaceX’s initial public offering (IPO) occurs.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
Market Opened: Feb 9, 2026, 3:01 PM ET
Volume
$162,346End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Feb 9, 2026, 3:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on the calendar month (ET) in 2026 in which SpaceX’s initial public offering (IPO) occurs.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 64% implied probability for a SpaceX initial public offering in June, driven by the company's confidential SEC filing on April 1, 2026, which positions it for a mid-year listing at a potential $1.75 trillion valuation—the largest in history. This surge in June odds follows weeks of mounting speculation, including March 25 reports of an imminent filing that rallied space sector stocks, amid Starlink's revenue growth and merger talks with xAI boosting fundamental appeal. July at 10% reflects potential SEC review delays, while May's 8.7% accounts for accelerated timelines; key catalysts include the public S-1 prospectus release and roadshow scheduling in coming weeks.
This market will resolve based on the calendar month (ET) in 2026 in which SpaceX’s initial public offering (IPO) occurs.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
Volume
$162,346End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Feb 9, 2026, 3:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 64% implied probability for a SpaceX initial public offering in June, driven by the company's confidential SEC filing on April 1, 2026, which positions it for a mid-year listing at a potential $1.75 trillion valuation—the largest in history. This surge in June odds follows weeks of mounting speculation, including March 25 reports of an imminent filing that rallied space sector stocks, amid Starlink's revenue growth and merger talks with xAI boosting fundamental appeal. July at 10% reflects potential SEC review delays, while May's 8.7% accounts for accelerated timelines; key catalysts include the public S-1 prospectus release and roadshow scheduling in coming weeks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions