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icon for IL -09民主党予備選挙優勝者
政治·プライマリ

IL -09民主党予備選挙優勝者

icon for IL -09民主党予備選挙優勝者
政治·プライマリ

IL -09民主党予備選挙優勝者

ダニエル・ビス 100.0%

ケイト・アブガザレ <1%

ジャン・シャコウスキー <1%

ローラ・ファイン <1%

Polymarket

$0.00 Vol.

ダニエル・ビス 100.0%

ケイト・アブガザレ <1%

ジャン・シャコウスキー <1%

ローラ・ファイン <1%

Polymarket

$0.00 Vol.

ケイト・アブガザレ

$0 Vol.

いいえ

ジャン・シャコウスキー

$0 Vol.

いいえ

ダニエル・ビス

$0 Vol.

はい

ローラ・ファイン

$0 Vol.

いいえ

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on March 17, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Daniel Biss's commanding 100% trader consensus in the Illinois 9th Congressional District Democratic primary stems from his decisive victory on March 19, 2024, capturing 53% of the vote against Kate Abughazaleh's 22% and Laura Fine's 16%, with incumbent Jan Schakowsky retiring after 14 terms. Pre-election polls consistently showed Biss leading, bolstered by strong fundraising—over $3 million raised—and key endorsements from labor unions and progressive groups. This skin-in-the-game pricing reflects certified results from the Illinois State Board of Elections, with negligible volume on challengers. Realistic challenges, such as a recount or legal dispute, appear improbable given the 30+ point margin, though final certification could theoretically shift odds if anomalies emerge.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on March 17, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
音量
$0
終了日
2026/03/17
マーケット開始日
Nov 25, 2025, 3:32 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on March 17, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

提案された結果: はい

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: はい

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on March 17, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Daniel Biss's commanding 100% trader consensus in the Illinois 9th Congressional District Democratic primary stems from his decisive victory on March 19, 2024, capturing 53% of the vote against Kate Abughazaleh's 22% and Laura Fine's 16%, with incumbent Jan Schakowsky retiring after 14 terms. Pre-election polls consistently showed Biss leading, bolstered by strong fundraising—over $3 million raised—and key endorsements from labor unions and progressive groups. This skin-in-the-game pricing reflects certified results from the Illinois State Board of Elections, with negligible volume on challengers. Realistic challenges, such as a recount or legal dispute, appear improbable given the 30+ point margin, though final certification could theoretically shift odds if anomalies emerge.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on March 17, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
音量
$0
終了日
2026/03/17
マーケット開始日
Nov 25, 2025, 3:32 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on March 17, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

提案された結果: はい

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: はい

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「IL -09民主党予備選挙優勝者」はPolymarket上の4個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「ダニエル・ビス」で100%、次いで「ケイト・アブガザレ」が0%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、100¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に100%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「IL -09民主党予備選挙優勝者」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です（Nov 25, 2025開始）。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「IL -09民主党予備選挙優勝者」で取引するには、このページに記載されている4個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「IL -09民主党予備選挙優勝者」の現在のフロントランナーは「ダニエル・ビス」で100%であり、市場がこの結果に100%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「ケイト・アブガザレ」で0%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「IL -09民主党予備選挙優勝者」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。