Terri Pickens commands trader consensus at 79% implied probability as the Idaho Governor Democratic primary frontrunner on May 19, driven by her prior 2022 statewide run for lieutenant governor, established campaign infrastructure, and recent grassroots events like a March 21 meet-and-greet in Sandpoint that bolster her visibility in a low-turnout primary. Maxine Durand trails at 18% with niche progressive support from DSA ties, while late entrant Jill Kirkham's March 5 announcement and Chanelle Torrez's filing split support among less-recognized challengers at around 9.5% each; Stephen Heidt lingers at 2.1% despite not appearing on the ballot. Absent public polls, odds reflect perceived organization and name recognition in Idaho's Democratic field, with filings finalized last month stabilizing the race.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedTerri Pickens 80%
Maxine Durand 18%
Chanelle Torrez 10%
Jill Kirkham 10%
Terri Pickens
80%
Maxine Durand
18%
Chanelle Torrez
10%
Jill Kirkham
10%
Stephen Heidt
2%
Terri Pickens 80%
Maxine Durand 18%
Chanelle Torrez 10%
Jill Kirkham 10%
Terri Pickens
80%
Maxine Durand
18%
Chanelle Torrez
10%
Jill Kirkham
10%
Stephen Heidt
2%
If no 2026 Idaho Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Idaho Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Market Opened: Dec 5, 2025, 7:05 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Idaho Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Idaho Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Terri Pickens commands trader consensus at 79% implied probability as the Idaho Governor Democratic primary frontrunner on May 19, driven by her prior 2022 statewide run for lieutenant governor, established campaign infrastructure, and recent grassroots events like a March 21 meet-and-greet in Sandpoint that bolster her visibility in a low-turnout primary. Maxine Durand trails at 18% with niche progressive support from DSA ties, while late entrant Jill Kirkham's March 5 announcement and Chanelle Torrez's filing split support among less-recognized challengers at around 9.5% each; Stephen Heidt lingers at 2.1% despite not appearing on the ballot. Absent public polls, odds reflect perceived organization and name recognition in Idaho's Democratic field, with filings finalized last month stabilizing the race.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated



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