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Politics·Primaries

Idaho Governor Democratic Primary Winner

Market icon
Politics·Primaries

Idaho Governor Democratic Primary Winner

Terri Pickens 80%

Maxine Durand 18%

Chanelle Torrez 10%

Jill Kirkham 10%

Polymarket
NEW

Terri Pickens 80%

Maxine Durand 18%

Chanelle Torrez 10%

Jill Kirkham 10%

Polymarket
NEW

Terri Pickens

$0 Vol.

80%

Maxine Durand

$0 Vol.

18%

Chanelle Torrez

$0 Vol.

10%

Jill Kirkham

$0 Vol.

10%

Stephen Heidt

$0 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Idaho, scheduled to take place on May 19, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Idaho Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Idaho Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Terri Pickens commands trader consensus at 79% implied probability as the Idaho Governor Democratic primary frontrunner on May 19, driven by her prior 2022 statewide run for lieutenant governor, established campaign infrastructure, and recent grassroots events like a March 21 meet-and-greet in Sandpoint that bolster her visibility in a low-turnout primary. Maxine Durand trails at 18% with niche progressive support from DSA ties, while late entrant Jill Kirkham's March 5 announcement and Chanelle Torrez's filing split support among less-recognized challengers at around 9.5% each; Stephen Heidt lingers at 2.1% despite not appearing on the ballot. Absent public polls, odds reflect perceived organization and name recognition in Idaho's Democratic field, with filings finalized last month stabilizing the race.

Terri Pickens commands trader consensus at 79% implied probability as the Idaho Governor Democratic primary frontrunner on May 19, driven by her prior 2022 statewide run for lieutenant governor, established campaign infrastructure, and recent grassroots events like a March 21 meet-and-greet in Sandpoint that bolster her visibility in a low-turnout primary. Maxine Durand trails at 18% with niche progressive support from DSA ties, while late entrant Jill Kirkham's March 5 announcement and Chanelle Torrez's filing split support among less-recognized challengers at around 9.5% each; Stephen Heidt lingers at 2.1% despite not appearing on the ballot. Absent public polls, odds reflect perceived organization and name recognition in Idaho's Democratic field, with filings finalized last month stabilizing the race.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Idaho, scheduled to take place on May 19, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Idaho Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Idaho Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Terri Pickens commands trader consensus at 79% implied probability as the Idaho Governor Democratic primary frontrunner on May 19, driven by her prior 2022 statewide run for lieutenant governor, established campaign infrastructure, and recent grassroots events like a March 21 meet-and-greet in Sandpoint that bolster her visibility in a low-turnout primary. Maxine Durand trails at 18% with niche progressive support from DSA ties, while late entrant Jill Kirkham's March 5 announcement and Chanelle Torrez's filing split support among less-recognized challengers at around 9.5% each; Stephen Heidt lingers at 2.1% despite not appearing on the ballot. Absent public polls, odds reflect perceived organization and name recognition in Idaho's Democratic field, with filings finalized last month stabilizing the race.

Terri Pickens commands trader consensus at 79% implied probability as the Idaho Governor Democratic primary frontrunner on May 19, driven by her prior 2022 statewide run for lieutenant governor, established campaign infrastructure, and recent grassroots events like a March 21 meet-and-greet in Sandpoint that bolster her visibility in a low-turnout primary. Maxine Durand trails at 18% with niche progressive support from DSA ties, while late entrant Jill Kirkham's March 5 announcement and Chanelle Torrez's filing split support among less-recognized challengers at around 9.5% each; Stephen Heidt lingers at 2.1% despite not appearing on the ballot. Absent public polls, odds reflect perceived organization and name recognition in Idaho's Democratic field, with filings finalized last month stabilizing the race.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Idaho Governor Democratic Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Terri Pickens" at 80%, followed by "Maxine Durand" at 18%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 80¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 80% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Idaho Governor Democratic Primary Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Dec 6, 2025. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Idaho Governor Democratic Primary Winner," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Idaho Governor Democratic Primary Winner" is "Terri Pickens" at 80%, meaning the market assigns a 80% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Maxine Durand" at 18%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Idaho Governor Democratic Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.