Ensemble weather models from the China Meteorological Administration and international sources like ECMWF converge on a daytime high near 20°C for Wuhan on April 2, reflecting trader-implied probabilities clustered tightly at 19°C (25%), 20°C (30%), and 21°C (32%). This positioning stems from forecasts of considerable cloudiness and light rain suppressing peak insolation and diurnal heating, capping temperatures after a warmer, sunnier April 1 high around 25°C. Differentiating factors include frontal system timing—greater overcast favors 19°C, while partial cloud breaks could push to 21°C—amid typical early-April Yangtze Basin variability, where historical maxima average 19–21°C with 50–55% cloud cover. Updated hourly guidance expected today will refine this short-range uncertainty before resolution via official station observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Wuhan on April 2?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 2?
21°C 33%
20°C 32%
19°C 25%
22°C 10%
$15,541 Vol.
$15,541 Vol.
Apr 2, 2026
17°C or below
2%
18°C
4%
19°C
25%
20°C
32%
21°C
33%
22°C
10%
23°C
2%
24°C
2%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
1%
21°C 33%
20°C 32%
19°C 25%
22°C 10%
$15,541 Vol.
$15,541 Vol.
Apr 2, 2026
17°C or below
$4,108 Vol.
2%
18°C
$1,814 Vol.
4%
19°C
$961 Vol.
25%
20°C
$1,102 Vol.
32%
21°C
$848 Vol.
33%
22°C
$528 Vol.
10%
23°C
$541 Vol.
2%
24°C
$828 Vol.
2%
25°C
$484 Vol.
1%
26°C
$491 Vol.
<1%
27°C or higher
$3,841 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Ensemble weather models from the China Meteorological Administration and international sources like ECMWF converge on a daytime high near 20°C for Wuhan on April 2, reflecting trader-implied probabilities clustered tightly at 19°C (25%), 20°C (30%), and 21°C (32%). This positioning stems from forecasts of considerable cloudiness and light rain suppressing peak insolation and diurnal heating, capping temperatures after a warmer, sunnier April 1 high around 25°C. Differentiating factors include frontal system timing—greater overcast favors 19°C, while partial cloud breaks could push to 21°C—amid typical early-April Yangtze Basin variability, where historical maxima average 19–21°C with 50–55% cloud cover. Updated hourly guidance expected today will refine this short-range uncertainty before resolution via official station observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 29, 2026, 2:25 PM ET
Volume
$15,541End Date
Apr 2, 2026Market Opened
Mar 29, 2026, 2:25 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Ensemble weather models from the China Meteorological Administration and international sources like ECMWF converge on a daytime high near 20°C for Wuhan on April 2, reflecting trader-implied probabilities clustered tightly at 19°C (25%), 20°C (30%), and 21°C (32%). This positioning stems from forecasts of considerable cloudiness and light rain suppressing peak insolation and diurnal heating, capping temperatures after a warmer, sunnier April 1 high around 25°C. Differentiating factors include frontal system timing—greater overcast favors 19°C, while partial cloud breaks could push to 21°C—amid typical early-April Yangtze Basin variability, where historical maxima average 19–21°C with 50–55% cloud cover. Updated hourly guidance expected today will refine this short-range uncertainty before resolution via official station observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$15,541End Date
Apr 2, 2026Market Opened
Mar 29, 2026, 2:25 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ensemble weather models from the China Meteorological Administration and international sources like ECMWF converge on a daytime high near 20°C for Wuhan on April 2, reflecting trader-implied probabilities clustered tightly at 19°C (25%), 20°C (30%), and 21°C (32%). This positioning stems from forecasts of considerable cloudiness and light rain suppressing peak insolation and diurnal heating, capping temperatures after a warmer, sunnier April 1 high around 25°C. Differentiating factors include frontal system timing—greater overcast favors 19°C, while partial cloud breaks could push to 21°C—amid typical early-April Yangtze Basin variability, where historical maxima average 19–21°C with 50–55% cloud cover. Updated hourly guidance expected today will refine this short-range uncertainty before resolution via official station observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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