Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 24°C in Wuhan on April 1 (99.9% implied probability), driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecast via World Meteorological Organization data confirming a daily maximum of 24°C amid clear skies and light winds. Supporting evidence includes converging international models—such as Finnish Institute hourly peaks at 23°C and TimeandDate projections of 23°C afternoon highs—reflecting stable high-pressure conditions and seasonal early-April warming above the 20-22°C climatological average. With minimal model spread (1-2°C), realistic challenges would require unexpected prolonged sunshine for late-afternoon heating to 25°C+ or station-specific measurement variations at resolution from official Wuhan observatory data by day's end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Wuhan on April 1?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 1?
24°C 100.0%
26°C <1%
25°C <1%
27°C <1%
$82,798 Vol.
$82,798 Vol.
24°C
100%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
24°C 100.0%
26°C <1%
25°C <1%
27°C <1%
$82,798 Vol.
$82,798 Vol.
24°C
100%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 29, 2026, 2:25 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 24°C in Wuhan on April 1 (99.9% implied probability), driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecast via World Meteorological Organization data confirming a daily maximum of 24°C amid clear skies and light winds. Supporting evidence includes converging international models—such as Finnish Institute hourly peaks at 23°C and TimeandDate projections of 23°C afternoon highs—reflecting stable high-pressure conditions and seasonal early-April warming above the 20-22°C climatological average. With minimal model spread (1-2°C), realistic challenges would require unexpected prolonged sunshine for late-afternoon heating to 25°C+ or station-specific measurement variations at resolution from official Wuhan observatory data by day's end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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