Latest MetService forecasts for Wellington on March 26 confirm a maximum temperature of 19°C under partly cloudy skies with northwesterlies strengthening in the afternoon, aligning with trader consensus at 99.9% implied probability. Ensemble model runs from global weather services like ECMWF and GFS show tight agreement on daytime highs capped by cool maritime air inflows and typical autumnal cooling patterns, consistent with March climatology where averages hover around 19–20°C. Historical data reinforces this, with only rare southerly outbreaks or blocking highs pushing extremes above 20°C. An improbable shift to prolonged clear skies or anomalous warm advection could challenge this, but daily forecast updates from MetService through March 25 offer the next key insights.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Wellington on March 26?
Highest temperature in Wellington on March 26?
$331,492 Vol.
$331,492 Vol.
19°C
100%
20°C or higher
<1%
$331,492 Vol.
$331,492 Vol.
19°C
100%
20°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 22, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest MetService forecasts for Wellington on March 26 confirm a maximum temperature of 19°C under partly cloudy skies with northwesterlies strengthening in the afternoon, aligning with trader consensus at 99.9% implied probability. Ensemble model runs from global weather services like ECMWF and GFS show tight agreement on daytime highs capped by cool maritime air inflows and typical autumnal cooling patterns, consistent with March climatology where averages hover around 19–20°C. Historical data reinforces this, with only rare southerly outbreaks or blocking highs pushing extremes above 20°C. An improbable shift to prolonged clear skies or anomalous warm advection could challenge this, but daily forecast updates from MetService through March 25 offer the next key insights.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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