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Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on March 25?

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Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on March 25?

Ended: Mar 25

Mar 28

Mar 29

Ended: Mar 25

Mar 28

Mar 29

19°C 100.0%

14°C or below <1%

15°C <1%

16°C <1%

Polymarket

$0.00 Vol.

19°C 100.0%

14°C or below <1%

15°C <1%

16°C <1%

Polymarket

$0.00 Vol.

14°C or below

$0 Vol.

No

15°C

$0 Vol.

No

16°C

$0 Vol.

No

17°C

$0 Vol.

No

18°C

$0 Vol.

No

19°C

$0 Vol.

Yes

20°C

$0 Vol.

No

21°C

$0 Vol.

No

22°C

$0 Vol.

No

23°C

$0 Vol.

No

24°C or higher

$0 Vol.

No

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Israel Meteorological Service confirm Tel Aviv's highest temperature on March 25 reached exactly 19°C, with daytime highs peaking amid mild spring conditions influenced by a stable Mediterranean high-pressure system suppressing warmer air advection. This aligns with seasonal climatology for late March, where average highs hover around 19–21°C based on 30-year NOAA normals, and recent model outputs from ECMWF and GFS accurately forecasted subdued warming due to light northerly winds and coastal cloud cover. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects this verified measurement data, representing skin-in-the-game agreement on resolution criteria tied to official IMS records. Realistic challenges would require rare data revisions from station audits or disputes over measurement sites, though historical precedent shows such adjustments affect less than 0.5°C in urban settings.

Official observations from the Israel Meteorological Service confirm Tel Aviv's highest temperature on March 25 reached exactly 19°C, with daytime highs peaking amid mild spring conditions influenced by a stable Mediterranean high-pressure system suppressing warmer air advection. This aligns with seasonal climatology for late March, where average highs hover around 19–21°C based on 30-year NOAA normals, and recent model outputs from ECMWF and GFS accurately forecasted subdued warming due to light northerly winds and coastal cloud cover. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects this verified measurement data, representing skin-in-the-game agreement on resolution criteria tied to official IMS records. Realistic challenges would require rare data revisions from station audits or disputes over measurement sites, though historical precedent shows such adjustments affect less than 0.5°C in urban settings.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Israel Meteorological Service confirm Tel Aviv's highest temperature on March 25 reached exactly 19°C, with daytime highs peaking amid mild spring conditions influenced by a stable Mediterranean high-pressure system suppressing warmer air advection. This aligns with seasonal climatology for late March, where average highs hover around 19–21°C based on 30-year NOAA normals, and recent model outputs from ECMWF and GFS accurately forecasted subdued warming due to light northerly winds and coastal cloud cover. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects this verified measurement data, representing skin-in-the-game agreement on resolution criteria tied to official IMS records. Realistic challenges would require rare data revisions from station audits or disputes over measurement sites, though historical precedent shows such adjustments affect less than 0.5°C in urban settings.

Official observations from the Israel Meteorological Service confirm Tel Aviv's highest temperature on March 25 reached exactly 19°C, with daytime highs peaking amid mild spring conditions influenced by a stable Mediterranean high-pressure system suppressing warmer air advection. This aligns with seasonal climatology for late March, where average highs hover around 19–21°C based on 30-year NOAA normals, and recent model outputs from ECMWF and GFS accurately forecasted subdued warming due to light northerly winds and coastal cloud cover. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects this verified measurement data, representing skin-in-the-game agreement on resolution criteria tied to official IMS records. Realistic challenges would require rare data revisions from station audits or disputes over measurement sites, though historical precedent shows such adjustments affect less than 0.5°C in urban settings.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on March 25?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "19°C" at 100%, followed by "14°C or below" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on March 25?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Mar 21, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on March 25?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on March 25?" is "19°C" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "14°C or below" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on March 25?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.